vinii has made $162K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,269 all time by profit, with 7.5M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$162K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 7.5M
- Portfolio value
- $148K
- Profit this month
- +$33K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 64%
How vinii has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 127 (64%) ended in profit and 71 in a loss, for +$14K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 48%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $62K together, the biggest is “Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?” (No) at 23% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$3,951
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Sep 14, 2026
+$3,596
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$3,405
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Sep 26, 2026
+$3,150
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 15, 2026
+$3,133
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Up · entry 51% · closed Mar 1, 2026
+$2,675
Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$2,445
Will CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Oct 12, 2026
+$2,406
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$1,920
Will Yisrael Beiteinu win less than 5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$1,908
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 78% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$5,835
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Yes · entry 53% · closed May 26, 2026
−$3,240
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 69% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$2,487
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Yes · entry 52% · closed Jul 6, 2026
−$2,460
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?
No · entry 87% · closed Oct 15, 2026
−$2,277
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$2,044
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
Yes · entry 85% · closed Mar 4, 2026
−$1,997
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?
No · entry 78% · closed Sep 17, 2026
−$1,947
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No · entry 66% · closed Aug 12, 2026
−$1,801
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
No · entry 82% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$1,764
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
No · entry 87%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$14K
+$1,834 P&L
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?
No · entry 85%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$7,904
+$1,185 P&L
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
No · entry 92%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$6,930
+$535 P&L
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 91%, now 92% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,600
+$50 P&L
US recession by end of 2026?
No · entry 78%, now 92% · ends Jan 31, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,337
+$481 P&L
Denmark snap election called by December 31?
No · entry 93%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,307
+$194 P&L
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 74%, now 87% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,257
+$469 P&L
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 67%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,735
+$537 P&L
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$2,660
+$23 P&L
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
No · entry 63%, now 71% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,366
+$260 P&L
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 3%-6%?
No · entry 88%, now 96% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,293
+$201 P&L
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?
No · entry 84%, now 96% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,272
+$289 P&L
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
No · entry 97%, now >99% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,160
+$44 P&L
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89%, now 98% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,990
+$180 P&L
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 85% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,926
+$72 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 15%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?
Sold Yes at 18%
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?
Sold Yes at 7%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Bought Yes at 24%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 0.2%
Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Bought No at 97%
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?
Bought No at 51%
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
Bought Yes at 18%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 43%
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?
Bought Yes at 69%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Bought Yes at 27%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?
Bought Yes at 18%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?
Sold No at 61%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
Bought No at 8%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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