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SnapElectionAvoider

0xb1ca…1705 · Joined April 1, 2026

#1,017 all time#673,916 this monthView on Polymarket

SnapElectionAvoider has made $208K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,017 all time by profit, with 22M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$208K
All-time volume (shares)
22M
Portfolio value
$421K
Profit this month
−$19K
Win rate (last 199 closed)
48%

How SnapElectionAvoider has traded

Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 96 (48%) ended in profit and 103 in a loss, for +$17K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 42%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 86 of the 199 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $98K together, the biggest is “No one announced as next James Bond?” (Yes) at 13% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?

    Yes · entry 3% · closed May 24, 2026

    +$148K

  • Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

    Yes · entry 8% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$59K

  • Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

    No · entry 3% · closed Jun 24, 2026

    +$23K

  • US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

    No · entry 83% · closed Jun 1, 2026

    +$22K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 77% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    +$20K

  • Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    Yes · entry 0.4% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$18K

  • Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

    Yes · entry 77% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    +$16K

  • Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    No · entry 47% · closed Oct 5, 2026

    +$14K

  • Will Seán Kyne win the 2026 Galway West by-election?

    Yes · entry 4% · closed May 24, 2026

    +$14K

  • Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?

    Yes · entry 4% · closed Jun 3, 2026

    +$14K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry 95% · closed May 11, 2026

    −$66K

  • Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?

    No · entry 53% · closed Sep 17, 2026

    −$39K

  • Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

    No · entry 91% · closed May 4, 2026

    −$35K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 93% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$32K

  • Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 24, 2026

    −$25K

  • Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?

    No · entry 91% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$23K

  • Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

    Yes · entry 59% · closed Jul 1, 2026

    −$21K

  • USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

    No · entry 72% · closed Apr 23, 2026

    −$14K

  • Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

    No · entry 35% · closed Sep 21, 2026

    −$13K

  • Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

    No · entry 28% · closed Sep 3, 2026

    −$13K

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

  • No one announced as next James Bond?

    Yes · entry 20%, now 32% · ends Jan 1, 2027

    $13K

    +$4,925 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?

    No · entry 70%, now 70% · ends Jan 1, 2027

    $10K

    +$14 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Gladyz Butanda Macías win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?

    No · entry 75%, now 97% · ends Jun 7, 2027

    $9,394

    +$2,098 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?

    No · entry 65%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026

    $8,102

    +$2,485 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Gregory Nthatisi be the next mayor of Mangaung?

    No · entry 48%, now 93% · ends Nov 5, 2026

    $7,682

    +$3,692 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

    No · entry 30%, now 40% · ends Jan 1, 2027

    $7,123

    +$1,768 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

    Yes · entry 38%, now 36% · ends Dec 31, 2026

    $7,097

    −$555 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 29%, now 90% · ends Oct 31, 2026

    $6,749

    +$4,591 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 87%, now 94% · ends Oct 26, 2026

    $6,566

    +$506 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?

    No · entry 13%, now 54% · ends Oct 31, 2026

    $4,392

    +$3,329 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?

    Yes · entry 64%, now 73% · ended Sep 14, 2026

    $3,959

    +$499 P&L

  • Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?

    Yes · entry 47%, now 92% · ended Sep 14, 2026

    $3,756

    +$1,845 P&L

  • Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?

    Yes · entry 72%, now 89% · ended Sep 14, 2026

    $3,330

    +$627 P&L

  • Will Nkosindiphile Xhakaza be the next mayor of Ekurhuleni?

    No · entry 66%, now 96% · ends Nov 5, 2026

    $3,126

    +$996 P&L

    Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)

  • Will Elber Requejo Sánchez win the next Chiclayo mayoral elections?

    Yes · entry 2%, now >99% · ended Oct 5, 2026

    $3,114

    +$3,044 P&L

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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