marchonnow has made $233 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #160,652 all time by profit, with 1.0M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 24, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$233
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.0M
- Portfolio value
- $12K
- Profit this month
- +$883
- Win rate (last 175 closed)
- 71%
How marchonnow has traded
Across all 175 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 125 (71%) ended in profit and 50 in a loss, for +$1,612 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 77%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 6 largest open positions listed below, worth $12K together, the biggest is “Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?” (No) at 55% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
No · entry 79% · closed Sep 29, 2026
+$4,256
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
No · entry 94% · closed May 24, 2026
+$2,668
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
No · entry 87% · closed Jun 1, 2026
+$2,014
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Jun 3, 2026
+$1,857
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$1,824
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
No · entry 95% · closed May 1, 2026
+$1,678
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Yes · entry 90% · closed Jun 23, 2026
+$1,303
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$1,121
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Yes · entry 73% · closed Oct 6, 2026
+$1,101
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Apr 13, 2026
+$985
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Jun 5, 2026
−$5,378
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No · entry 59% · closed May 27, 2026
−$4,836
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Jul 14, 2026
−$3,223
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
No · entry 83% · closed May 4, 2026
−$2,719
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$2,622
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
No · entry 79% · closed Apr 30, 2026
−$2,027
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 70% · closed May 24, 2026
−$1,855
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
No · entry 64% · closed Jul 1, 2026
−$1,395
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
No · entry 52% · closed Jul 14, 2026
−$755
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
No · entry 78% · closed May 23, 2026
−$678
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No · entry 94%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,508
+$346 P&L
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?
Yes · entry 99%, now 99% · ended Oct 21, 2026
$2,982
−$5 P&L
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 79%, now 43% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,140
−$1,774 P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 88%, now 94% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$267
+$15 P&L
Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?
No · entry 72%, now 90% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 80%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 87%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 80%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 12%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Sold Yes at 61%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?
Sold Yes at 87%
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Bought Yes at 94%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 43%
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 44%
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
Bought Yes at 86%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 99%
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?
Bought Yes at 47%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Bought Yes at 42%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
Bought Yes at 19%
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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