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2026 New Mexico Governor Race odds

Polymarket traders make Deb Haaland (D) the favorite for “New Mexico Governor Election Winner” at 95% (−0.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Gregg Hull (R) at 4%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 2 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Deb Haaland (D)Gregg Hull (R)

All 2 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“New Mexico Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Deb Haaland (D) leads at 95%, ahead of Gregg Hull (R) at 4%. Deb Haaland (D) is down 0.1 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.9 points over the past week. Traders have put $118K through the event so far, including $4,160 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in New Mexico Governor Election Winner?
Deb Haaland (D) is the favorite at 95%, followed by Gregg Hull (R) at 4%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?
Polymarket traders give Deb Haaland (D) a 95% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.05 (American −2051): $1 staked on Deb Haaland (D) returns about $1.05 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.1 points.

Related odds

New Mexico Governor Election Margin of Victory

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  • Democrat 10-15%18%
  • Democrat 20-25%16%

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Ohio Governor Election Winner

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  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R)20%

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California Governor Election Winner

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  • Steve Hilton1%
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