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Istaroth

Istaroth

0x9efd…ad00 · Joined July 26, 2024

#3,225,037 all time#670,563 this monthView on Polymarket

Istaroth is down $753K in realized results on Polymarket, with 33M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
−$753K
All-time volume (shares)
33M
Portfolio value
$283
Profit this month
−$28K
Win rate (last 196 closed)
48%

How Istaroth has traded

Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 95 (48%) ended in profit and 101 in a loss, for −$1,159 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $240 together, the biggest is “Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?” (No) at 41% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 68% · closed Jan 28, 2026

    +$253K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 99% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    +$143K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

    No · entry 95% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$28K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 1, 2026

    +$19K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 91% · closed Dec 11, 2025

    +$18K

  • Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

    No · entry 96% · closed Apr 1, 2026

    +$12K

  • Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

    Yes · entry 98% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$8,772

  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

    No · entry 50% · closed Jun 2, 2026

    +$7,822

  • Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 89% · closed Jun 24, 2026

    +$7,449

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 94% · closed Oct 30, 2025

    +$5,028

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 97% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$698K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

    No · entry 92% · closed Apr 16, 2026

    −$110K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 29% · closed Jan 28, 2026

    −$100K

  • Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Jan 28, 2026

    −$98K

  • Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 19% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    −$66K

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 33% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    −$59K

  • Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

    Yes · entry 22% · closed Sep 11, 2026

    −$44K

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$24K

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed May 31, 2026

    −$19K

  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 8, 2026

    −$8,527

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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