ImJustKen has made $2.3M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #67 all time by profit, with 497M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2.3M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 497M
- Portfolio value
- $717K
- Profit this month
- −$17K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 66%
How ImJustKen has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 130 (66%) ended in profit and 68 in a loss, for +$422K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 49%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $429K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$1.3M
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$399K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.1% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$310K
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Jul 16, 2024
+$284K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$270K
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
No · entry 55% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$252K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 0.8% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$251K
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Nov 11, 2024
+$217K
Will Biden finish his term?
No · entry 7% · closed Nov 15, 2024
+$209K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Sep 29, 2026
+$203K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$298K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 98% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$287K
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
No · entry 97% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$218K
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
No · entry 55% · closed May 24, 2024
−$204K
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 50% · closed Nov 11, 2024
−$203K
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 21, 2025
−$180K
Will Biden finish his term?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jan 21, 2025
−$168K
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Nov 7, 2024
−$167K
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30?
No · entry 96% · closed Jul 31, 2022
−$158K
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022?
No · entry 93% · closed Oct 2, 2022
−$146K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$104K
−$814 P&L
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$91K
+$4,545 P&L
No one announced as next James Bond?
No · entry 76%, now 74% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$63K
−$1,233 P&L
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$669 P&L
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 5%, now 75% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$23K P&L
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 62%, now 95% · ends Oct 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$24K
+$8,184 P&L
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 4%, now 5% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$15K
+$3,630 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 20% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
−$1,758 P&L
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 90%, now 91% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$73 P&L
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 13%, now 3% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
−$29K P&L
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 10%, now 9% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,349
−$1,603 P&L
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 31%, now 39% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,220
+$1,865 P&L
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No · entry 71%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,897
+$2,362 P&L
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 20%, now 20% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,687
+$0 P&L
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Yes · entry 83%, now 84% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,173
+$50 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 5%
Will Thomas Massie be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Bought Yes at 5%
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Kamala Harris be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Bought Yes at 11%
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 15%
Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Bought Yes at 6%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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