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Highest grossing movie in 2026 odds

Polymarket traders make Spider-Man: Brand New Day the favorite for “Highest grossing movie in 2026” at 93% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of Avengers: Doomsday at 6%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 26Oct 25
Spider-Man: Brand New DayAvengers: DoomsdayWicked: For GoodWuthering Heights

All 14 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Highest grossing movie in 2026” is a Polymarket event with 14 open outcomes. Spider-Man: Brand New Day leads at 93%, ahead of Avengers: Doomsday at 6%. Spider-Man: Brand New Day is unchanged over the last 24 hours and down 2.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $18M through the event so far, including $1,799 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 8, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Highest grossing movie in 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day is the favorite at 93%, followed by Avengers: Doomsday at 6% and Wicked: For Good at <0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Polymarket traders give Spider-Man: Brand New Day a 93% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.08 (American −1329): $1 staked on Spider-Man: Brand New Day returns about $1.08 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.

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