
polmar001
0x6e6c…e358 · Joined November 19, 2024
polmar001 has made $3,255 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #36,019 all time by profit, with 663K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$3,255
- All-time volume (shares)
- 663K
- Portfolio value
- $555
- Profit this month
- −$26K
- Win rate (last 55 closed)
- 65%
How polmar001 has traded
Across all 55 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 36 (65%) ended in profit and 19 in a loss, for +$3,223 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 75%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 5 largest open positions listed below, worth $555 together, the biggest is “Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 88% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?
No · entry 82% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$2,735

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 86% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$2,083

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 87% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,840

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 80% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,513

Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
No · entry 85% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$754

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
No · entry 92% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$753

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
Yes · entry 87% · closed Sep 30, 2026
+$676

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 88% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$624

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 88% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$612

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Dec 3, 2025
+$507
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
No · entry 58% · closed Dec 31, 2025
−$2,997

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
Yes · entry 28% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$1,809

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 64% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$1,594

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
No · entry 45% · closed Dec 3, 2025
−$1,165

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?
No · entry 40% · closed Sep 20, 2026
−$1,084

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Yes · entry 88% · closed Nov 5, 2025
−$723

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes · entry 36% · closed Sep 25, 2026
−$532

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Oct 1, 2026
−$451

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 70% · closed Aug 28, 2026
−$387

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 86% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$294
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$489
+$11 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 76%, now 0.1% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$51
−$26K P&L

Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes · entry 0.2%, now <0.1% · ended Jan 8, 2027
$5
−$15 P&L

Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes · entry 0.2%, now <0.1% · ended Jan 8, 2027
$5
−$15 P&L

Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes · entry 0.2%, now <0.1% · ended Jan 8, 2027
$5
−$15 P&L
Recent trades

Sold No at 95%
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 95%
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 94%
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

Bought Yes at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 77%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought Yes at 76%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 95%
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

Sold No at 95%
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

Sold No at 95%
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?
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