realbengvir has made $39K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #4,491 all time by profit, with 5.8M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$39K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 5.8M
- Portfolio value
- $190K
- Profit this month
- +$14K
- Win rate (last 34 closed)
- 68%
How realbengvir has traded
Across all 34 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 23 (68%) ended in profit and 11 in a loss, for +$41K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 68%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $177K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House” (Yes) at 41% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$22K
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No · entry 74% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$17K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 92% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$8,194
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
Yes · entry 92% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$7,632
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$4,528
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
No · entry 96% · closed May 26, 2026
+$1,170
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$1,146
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
Yes · entry 99% · closed Jul 24, 2026
+$633
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
+$546
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 21, 2026
+$361
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
No · entry 18% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$10K
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$7,800
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
No · entry 25% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$4,738
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?
No · entry 2% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$482
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 8, 2026
−$119
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Oct 21, 2026
−$80
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?
No · entry 64% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$57
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Oct 20, 2026
−$48
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
No · entry 37% · closed Aug 26, 2026
−$45
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
No · entry 88% · closed Apr 14, 2026
−$3
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 64%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$73K
+$1,680 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 63%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
−$105 P&L
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Yes · entry 86%, now 85% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
−$332 P&L
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
No · entry 89%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
+$948 P&L
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes · entry 41%, now 40% · market ended
$10K
−$393 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 44%, now 42% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,478
−$390 P&L
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,610
+$30 P&L
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 76% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,510
+$119 P&L
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
No · entry 32%, now 25% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,203
−$1,327 P&L
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 47%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,040
−$620 P&L
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 71% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,550
+$50 P&L
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,161
+$112 P&L
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 77%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,874
−$75 P&L
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 78%, now 75% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$2,419
−$114 P&L
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 74%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,175
−$45 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 33%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 33%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 33%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 33%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold Yes at 34%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Sold No at 23%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?
Bought No at 61%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 59%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 59%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought No at 59%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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