hfv is down $128K in realized results on Polymarket, with 10M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$128K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 10M
- Portfolio value
- $27K
- Profit this month
- −$105K
- Win rate (last 187 closed)
- 39%
How hfv has traded
Across the 187 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 72 (39%) ended in profit and 115 in a loss, for −$26K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $8,012 together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?” (Yes) at 21% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$12K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$12K
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
Yes · entry 4% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$11K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 19, 2026
+$9,120
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?
No · entry 5% · closed Oct 17, 2026
+$8,453
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
No · entry 5% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$8,063
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$8,034
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
No · entry 2% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$7,955
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?
No · entry 33% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$7,650
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$7,261
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$12K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$12K
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-04 House seat?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$11K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$9,246
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$8,685
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Oct 17, 2026
−$8,612
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$8,568
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$8,288
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 95% · closed Oct 16, 2026
−$8,137
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 80% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$7,498
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Yes · entry 91%, now 87% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,706
−$89 P&L
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election?
Yes · entry 92%, now 91% · ends Nov 29, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,340
−$15 P&L
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Game Direction at the 2026 Game Awards?
No · entry 61%, now 27% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$866
−$1,056 P&L
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?
No · entry 85%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$765
−$85 P&L
Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
No · entry 77%, now 52% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$543
−$269 P&L
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdown
No · entry 60%, now 56% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$450
−$36 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 25?
Yes · entry 10%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$417
+$376 P&L
Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?
No · entry 84%, now 72% · ends Jan 11, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$339
−$54 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 25?
Yes · entry 33%, now >99% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$280
+$188 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on October 25?
No · entry 70%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$256
+$77 P&L
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October?
No · entry 87%, now 86% · ends Nov 2, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$221
−$4 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?
No · entry 64%, now 75% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$216
+$33 P&L
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?
Yes · entry 4%, now 3% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$211
−$54 P&L
Will Georgia Bulldogs win the 2027 CFP National Championship?
Yes · entry 20%, now 15% · ends Jan 26, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$202
−$71 P&L
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on October 25?
No · entry 91%, now >99% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$202
+$19 P&L
Recent trades
Sold Yes at 0.1%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 26?
Sold Yes at 78%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Sold Yes at 78%
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
Sold No at 21%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Sold No at 23%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Sold No at 23%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Sold No at 23%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Sold No at 23%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Bought No at 26%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
Bought No at 74%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 27?
Sold Yes at 49%
Will Marco Bonilla Mendoza win the 2027 Chihuahua Governor Election?
Bought No at 46%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
Sold No at 72%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?
Bought No at 73%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 26?
Bought No at 63%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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