ajaaja is down $3,483 in realized results on Polymarket, with 562K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$3,483
- All-time volume (shares)
- 562K
- Portfolio value
- $49K
- Profit this month
- −$1,033
- Win rate (last 188 closed)
- 91%
How ajaaja has traded
Across all 188 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 172 (91%) ended in profit and 16 in a loss, for +$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 82%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $49K together, the biggest is “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?” (Yes) at 40% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$2,260

Spread: Germany (-3.5)
Germany · entry 47% · closed Jun 14, 2026
+$1,000

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
No · entry 36% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$640

Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score
Yes · entry 44% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$560

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$544

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
DR Congo · entry 47% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$530

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Yes · entry 49% · closed Apr 10, 2026
+$510

France leading at halftime?
No · entry 49% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$510

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 54% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$460

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$440
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 30% · closed May 1, 2026
−$557

Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score
No · entry 55% · closed Jun 17, 2026
−$550

Spread: France (-1.5)
Senegal · entry 80% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$329

Spread: Spain (-3.5)
Spain · entry 33% · closed Jun 15, 2026
−$287

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 6, 2026
−$180

Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?
Yes · entry 22% · closed Jun 16, 2026
−$110

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed May 15, 2026
−$95

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Feb 10, 2026
−$85

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
No · entry 30% · closed May 15, 2026
−$55

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 24?
No · entry 99% · closed Apr 10, 2026
−$48
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
−$259 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 67%, now 75% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,960
+$570 P&L

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
No · entry 81%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,460
+$625 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,419
+$95 P&L

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 79%, now 73% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$2,538
−$232 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 81%, now 81% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,012
−$18 P&L

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
No · entry 98%, now >99% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,660
+$19 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 60%, now 82% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,426
+$376 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 38%, now >99% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$999
+$619 P&L

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 96%, now 99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$988
+$26 P&L

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31?
No · entry 52%, now 92% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$915
+$395 P&L

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 92%, now 89% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$889
−$31 P&L

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 68%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$460
+$120 P&L

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 88% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$438
+$188 P&L

Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
No · entry 27%, now 17% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$170
−$100 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 94%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought No at 94%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought No at 94%
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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