stormshadow
0x2ca9…b942 · Joined January 28, 2024
stormshadow has made $17K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #9,186 all time by profit, with 1.3M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 23, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$17K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 1.3M
- Portfolio value
- $20K
- Profit this month
- −$644
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 85%
How stormshadow has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 169 (85%) ended in profit and 31 in a loss, for +$17K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 89%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 4 largest open positions listed below, worth $20K together, the biggest is “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?” (Yes) at 70% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $40m?
No · entry 83% · closed Feb 4, 2025
+$2,481
Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 10, 2025
+$2,030
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?
No · entry 71% · closed May 28, 2025
+$1,978
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Jan 3, 2025
+$1,522
Will 'Sonic 3' gross between $72-80m on 3-day opening weekend?
No · entry 91% · closed Dec 23, 2024
+$1,039
US recession in 2025?
No · entry 95% · closed Jan 1, 2026
+$1,035
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
No · entry 98% · closed Jan 2, 2026
+$883
Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?
No · entry 96% · closed Dec 23, 2025
+$826
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
Yes · entry 94% · closed Feb 24, 2025
+$715
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Nov 8, 2024
+$708
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?
Yes · entry 97% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$1,923
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
No · entry >99% · closed Mar 18, 2026
−$1,909
Will 'Moana 2' gross over $200m on 5-day opening?
No · entry 79% · closed Dec 2, 2024
−$746
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Sep 19, 2024
−$733
Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend?
No · entry 86% · closed May 20, 2025
−$561
Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend?
No · entry 61% · closed Dec 23, 2024
−$249
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Yes · entry 45% · closed May 9, 2026
−$213
Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend?
No · entry 46% · closed Dec 2, 2024
−$158
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Dec 7, 2025
−$154
Will 'Red One' gross more than $27m on opening weekend?
No · entry 34% · closed Nov 19, 2024
−$76
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Yes · entry 94%, now 93% · ends Jan 8, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$152 P&L
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?
No · entry 80%, now 96% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$5,207
+$881 P&L
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 85%, now 79% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$439
−$32 P&L
Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record?
Yes · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Mar 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$226
+$0 P&L
Recent trades
Bought Yes at 95%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Bought No at 86%
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 96%
Will Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record?
Bought No at 86%
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Sold Avengers: Doomsday at 97%
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Bought No at 86%
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Bought No at 82%
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Sold Avengers: Doomsday at 96%
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Bought Avengers: Doomsday at 97%
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
Bought Yes at 97%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Bought No at 96%
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?
Bought Yes at 96%
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Bought No at 95%
Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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