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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026 odds

Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 3% and No at 97% for “Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026” (Yes −0.4 pts in the last 24 hours).

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Chance of Yes over the last 30 days

Price of a Yes share.

Sep 26Oct 25

Yes and No odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 3% and No at 97%; Yes is down 0.4 points over the last 24 hours and down 2.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $25M through the market so far, including $70K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 3% (decimal odds 32.79, American +3179) and No at 97% (decimal odds 1.03, American −3179). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
When does this market close?
The listed end date is January 1, 2027. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.

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