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What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan? Live odds

The highest-priced market in “What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan” is Hormuz / Blockade at >99% (+28 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Russia / Ukraine at >99%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 24Oct 26
Hormuz / BlockadeRussia / UkraineElectric / ElectricityBiden / Kamala / Obama 15+ times

All 14 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Michigan” is a Polymarket event with 14 open outcomes. Hormuz / Blockade has the highest price at >99%, ahead of Russia / Ukraine at >99%. Hormuz / Blockade is up 28 points over the last 24 hours and unchanged over the past week. Traders have put $56K through the event so far, including $48K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on October 25, 2026.

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How this market resolves

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in St. Clair, Michigan on October 26, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-st-clair-mi-president-donald-j-trump-djt47)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Michigan on October 26, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Michigan?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at >99% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.00 (American −199900): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.00 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 28 points.

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