
tourists has made $611K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #337 all time by profit, with 67M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$611K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 67M
- Portfolio value
- $638K
- Profit this month
- −$74K
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 77%
How tourists has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 154 (77%) ended in profit and 45 in a loss, for +$293K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 77%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $609K together, the biggest is “2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House” (No) at 17% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$98K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 82% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$72K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 89% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$36K

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
Yes · entry 71% · closed Nov 24, 2025
+$36K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 83% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$36K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 4, 2026
+$29K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$29K

OpenAI browser by October 31?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Oct 21, 2025
+$22K

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Nov 18, 2025
+$21K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed May 9, 2026
+$20K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 29, 2026
−$97K

Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$85K

Will the government shutdown end November 13?
No · entry 93% · closed Nov 13, 2025
−$57K

Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
No · entry 84% · closed Jun 13, 2025
−$49K

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 85% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$48K

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 81% · closed Apr 2, 2026
−$44K

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 56% · closed Mar 1, 2026
−$28K

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
No · entry 89% · closed Jul 20, 2026
−$27K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Yes · entry 17% · closed May 27, 2026
−$24K

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
Yes · entry 96% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$22K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$102K
+$2,150 P&L

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 93%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$92K
+$4,075 P&L

Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No · entry 92%, now 94% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$79K
+$905 P&L

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 72%, now 75% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$67K
+$1,950 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 65%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$57K
−$995 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$53K
−$603 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 82%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$40K
−$800 P&L

Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Yes · entry 69%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
−$366 P&L

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Yes · entry 80%, now 75% · ended Sep 14, 2026
$21K
−$1,583 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 75%, now 43% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
−$14K P&L

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$330 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 74%, now 43% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
−$8,150 P&L

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 84%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,655
+$1,255 P&L

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 86%, now >99% · ended Oct 23, 2026
$9,341
+$1,307 P&L

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,907
+$141 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 64%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 64%
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought No at 93%
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Bought Yes at 68%
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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