WarriorH has made $194K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1,082 all time by profit, with 19M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$194K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 19M
- Portfolio value
- $9,765
- Profit this month
- +$328K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 43%
How WarriorH has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 85 (43%) ended in profit and 115 in a loss, for +$96K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $5,792 together, the biggest is “Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?” (No) at 24% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 31% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$59K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
No · entry 6% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$47K

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
No · entry 3% · closed Sep 21, 2026
+$28K

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 27% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$26K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$23K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 12% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$23K

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 2% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$21K

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$21K

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
No · entry 3% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$20K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Oct 24, 2026
+$19K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 80% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$23K

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$21K

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$21K

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 67% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$19K

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 97% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$19K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$18K

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 75% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$18K

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
No · entry 86% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$17K

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No · entry 96% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$16K

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No · entry 98% · closed Oct 25, 2026
−$16K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 64% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,412
−$11 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 66%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,184
−$9 P&L

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 71%, now 69% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$804
−$29 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 36%, now 37% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$622
+$9 P&L

Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 87%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$612
−$4 P&L

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont be between 300,000 and 325,000?
No · entry 77%, now 56% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$180
−$71 P&L

No one announced as next James Bond?
No · entry 76%, now 69% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$140
−$15 P&L

Will Benfica finish first in UEL league phase?
Yes · entry 52%, now 42% · ends Feb 28, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$133
−$32 P&L

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?
Yes · entry 30%, now 21% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$121
−$56 P&L

Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be between 3% and 4%?
No · entry 76%, now 41% · ends Nov 24, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$114
−$100 P&L

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by June 30, 2027?
No · entry 72%, now 36% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$104
−$107 P&L

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?
Yes · entry 84%, now 70% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$100
−$21 P&L

Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be between 700,000 and 750,000?
No · entry 75%, now 53% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$95
−$40 P&L

US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 54%, now 40% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$93
−$34 P&L

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 68%, now 52% · ends Nov 30, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$78
−$25 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 87%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?

Bought Yes at 14%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?
Sold Yes at 33%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Tennessee be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?

Sold No at 0.2%
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí?
Sold Yes at 0.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sold Yes at 8%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate?
Bought Yes at 7%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
Bought No at 95%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Bought No at 82%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Bought No at 70%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Bought No at 95%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Bought No at 59%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?
Sold Yes at 45%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Sold No at 27%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Bought No at 83%
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election by 15%-20%?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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