The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e…434e · Joined August 4, 2021
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA has made $1.9M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #87 all time by profit, with 137M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.9M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 137M
- Portfolio value
- $1.3M
- Profit this month
- +$31K
- Win rate (last 195 closed)
- 63%
How The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA has traded
Across the 195 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 123 (63%) ended in profit and 72 in a loss, for +$599K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 45%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 100 of the 195 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1.3M together, the biggest is “US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?” (No) at 32% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$262K

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$171K

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Aug 6, 2024
+$158K

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
Yes · entry 32% · closed Nov 14, 2024
+$137K

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 50% · closed Jun 19, 2026
+$133K

No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Jul 30, 2025
+$131K

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 39% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$128K

Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 1% · closed Oct 9, 2026
+$121K

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
Democratic · entry 62% · closed Nov 13, 2022
+$121K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No · entry 85% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$119K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Trump and Biden both win nomination?
Yes · entry 79% · closed Aug 6, 2024
−$171K

Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
No · entry 92% · closed Dec 17, 2024
−$149K

[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
No · entry 53% · closed Jul 18, 2024
−$110K

Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms?
No · entry 73% · closed Feb 28, 2023
−$94K

[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 77% · closed Aug 7, 2024
−$76K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Sep 16, 2026
−$75K

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 37% · closed Nov 6, 2024
−$68K

Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on February 1, 2023?
Yes · entry 78% · closed Feb 2, 2023
−$64K

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 30, 2025
−$61K

France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
France · entry 58% · closed Jul 14, 2026
−$53K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 87%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$411K
−$715 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$300K
+$4,103 P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$262K
+$11K P&L

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$108K
+$2,324 P&L

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
No · entry >99%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$55K
+$83 P&L

Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes · entry 79%, now 86% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
+$2,282 P&L

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 96%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$818 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 70%, now 71% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$312 P&L

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$274 P&L

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 92%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$435 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$11K
+$309 P&L

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
No · entry 95%, now >99% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$8,903
+$437 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 37%, now 38% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,982
+$138 P&L

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 0.6%, now 1% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,406
+$2,684 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 70%, now 70% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,300
+$0 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold Yes at 17%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 87%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.6%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Bought Yes at 85%
Blue wave in 2026?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?

Sold Yes at 0.4%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Bought Yes at 70%
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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