thisisnotsatoshi
0xc029…4926 · Joined October 19, 2026
thisisnotsatoshi is down $44 in realized results on Polymarket, with 24K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 22, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$44
- All-time volume (shares)
- 24K
- Portfolio value
- $14K
- Profit this month
- −$230
- Win rate (last 6 closed)
- 33%
How thisisnotsatoshi has traded
Across all 6 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 2 (33%) ended in profit and 4 in a loss, for −$14 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 32%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $14K together, the biggest is “Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?” (No) at 20% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
No · entry 74% · closed Oct 21, 2026
+$1
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 20% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$26
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 14% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$4
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Oct 19, 2026
−$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Oct 22, 2026
−$0
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 95%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,736
+$40 P&L
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 74%, now 72% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,458
−$61 P&L
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
No · entry 96%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,605
−$2 P&L
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 98%, now 99% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,083
+$6 P&L
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
No · entry 45%, now 45% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,076
+$3 P&L
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 79%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,037
+$32 P&L
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 72%, now 62% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$852
−$137 P&L
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No · entry 84%, now 86% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$714
+$17 P&L
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
No · entry 86%, now 80% · ends Jan 19, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$533
−$39 P&L
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
No · entry 83%, now 89% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$417
+$27 P&L
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 88%, now 87% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$383
−$7 P&L
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes · entry 74%, now 66% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$322
−$38 P&L
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 91%, now 94% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$207
+$6 P&L
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Yes · entry 41%, now 36% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$195
−$30 P&L
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No · entry 50%, now 47% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$171
−$11 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 83%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Sold Yes at 17%
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Bought Yes at 74%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Bought Yes at 73%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Bought Yes at 72%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Bought Yes at 71%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Bought No at 95%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Bought No at 88%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 12%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Sold Yes at 13%
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Sold No at 78%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Bought Yes at 77%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 98%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 83%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Bought No at 83%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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