Noahrichards98
0xe57a…e196 · Joined March 13, 2026
Noahrichards98 has made $12K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #12,312 all time by profit, with 229K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$12K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 229K
- Portfolio value
- $36K
- Profit this month
- +$157
- Win rate (last 40 closed)
- 75%
How Noahrichards98 has traded
Across all 40 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 30 (75%) ended in profit and 10 in a loss, for +$13K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 67%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 9 largest open positions listed below, worth $36K together, the biggest is “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?” (No) at 48% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No · entry 49% · closed Oct 25, 2026
+$3,114
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
No · entry 40% · closed Oct 1, 2026
+$2,476
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
No · entry 72% · closed May 12, 2026
+$1,130
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Yes · entry 38% · closed Oct 20, 2026
+$1,047
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 64% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$870
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
No · entry 87% · closed Jun 9, 2026
+$853
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 89% · closed Oct 13, 2026
+$777
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?
No · entry 73% · closed Oct 10, 2026
+$692
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 80% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$657
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
No · entry 66% · closed Mar 24, 2026
+$644
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes · entry 25% · closed Jul 31, 2026
−$985
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
Yes · entry 67% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$945
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jul 30, 2026
−$835
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Yes · entry 66% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$293
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
No · entry 41% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$214
Will England win on 2026-07-01?
No · entry 60% · closed Sep 27, 2026
−$202
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?
Yes · entry 65% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$195
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
No · entry 19% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$113
Chirayu Rana fired?
No · entry 53% · closed May 4, 2026
−$58
Will Kimiko Miyashiro die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Yes · entry 34% · closed Jun 30, 2026
−$54
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
No · entry 89%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
−$631 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
Yes · entry 82%, now 82% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,976
−$24 P&L
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?
No · entry 77%, now 74% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,373
−$175 P&L
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Yes · entry 67%, now 62% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,114
−$268 P&L
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
No · entry 80%, now 97% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,595
+$467 P&L
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No · entry 68%, now 87% · ends Jan 5, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,170
+$468 P&L
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
No · entry 77%, now 79% · ends Jan 2, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,905
+$48 P&L
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Yes · entry 49%, now 48% · ends Nov 16, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,440
−$17 P&L
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
No · entry 62%, now 0.8% · ended Oct 25, 2026
$22
−$1,646 P&L
Recent trades
Bought No at 62%
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
Bought Yes at 49%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Bought Yes at 48%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?
Bought No at 77%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Sold No at 97%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Sold No at 87%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Sold No at 96%
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026?
Sold No at 97%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Sold No at 97%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Bought No at 78%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?
Bought Yes at 44%
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?
Sold No at 97%
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?
Sold Yes at 92%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?
Sold Yes at 72%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Sold Yes at 73%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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