
aenews2 has made $2.3M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #60 all time by profit, with 255M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2.3M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 255M
- Portfolio value
- $226K
- Profit this month
- +$190K
- Win rate (last 198 closed)
- 80%
How aenews2 has traded
Across the 198 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 158 (80%) ended in profit and 40 in a loss, for +$43K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 69%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $191K together, the biggest is “Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?” (No) at 30% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
Yes · entry 26% · closed Dec 23, 2025
+$403K

Will Kim Moon-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?
Yes · entry 100% · closed May 4, 2025
+$308K

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
No · entry 0.1% · closed Dec 5, 2024
+$305K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$298K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$288K

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
No · entry 0.6% · closed Jul 5, 2025
+$249K

GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Yes · entry 27% · closed Dec 18, 2024
+$229K

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
No · entry 29% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$218K

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Jan 22, 2025
+$184K

Was Milei hacked?
Yes · entry 0.2% · closed Feb 17, 2025
+$179K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Dec 5, 2024
−$296K

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jul 5, 2025
−$239K

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 64% · closed Nov 11, 2024
−$239K

Was Milei hacked?
No · entry >99% · closed Feb 17, 2025
−$165K

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
No · entry 56% · closed May 19, 2025
−$160K

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jan 22, 2025
−$156K

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
No · entry 98% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$141K

Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Oct 18, 2024
−$139K

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Yes · entry 99% · closed May 1, 2026
−$138K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 96% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$137K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 64%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$58K
+$14K P&L

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 73%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
+$160 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Yes · entry 68%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$17K
+$3,491 P&L

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 22%, now 16% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$14K
−$5,282 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Yes · entry 26%, now 33% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$2,807 P&L

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 74%, now 82% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$13K
+$1,234 P&L

Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?
Yes · entry 96%, now 98% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,198
+$155 P&L

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?
Yes · entry 30%, now 31% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,605
+$179 P&L

Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
No · entry 94%, now 92% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,235
−$145 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 72%, now 74% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,727
+$205 P&L

Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
No · entry 95%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,865
+$48 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Yes · entry 51%, now 56% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,648
+$342 P&L

Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
Yes · entry 61%, now 67% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,635
+$415 P&L

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Yes · entry 28%, now 23% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,290
−$1,144 P&L

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Yes · entry 44%, now 55% · ends Feb 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$4,235
+$879 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 73%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 73%
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Sold No at 83%
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 69%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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