Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

Alaska Governor Election Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins the favorite for “Alaska Governor Election Winner” at 89% (−0.1 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 11%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Sep 27Oct 27
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsBernadette WilsonDavid BronsonClick Bishop

All 22 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 22 outcomes

Where this market stands

“Alaska Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 22 open outcomes. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins leads at 89%, ahead of Bernadette Wilson at 11%. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is down 0.1 points over the last 24 hours and up 9.6 points over the past week. Traders have put $1.7M through the event so far, including $5,942 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Alaska Governor Election Winner?
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins is the favorite at 89%, followed by Bernadette Wilson at 11% and David Bronson at 0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Polymarket traders give Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins a 89% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.13 (American −770): $1 staked on Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins returns about $1.13 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.1 points.

Related odds

Alaska Senate Election Winner

  • Mary Peltola75%
  • Sen. Dan Sullivan26%
  • Ann Diener<0.1%

$1.8M traded · $107K in 24h

Texas Senate Election Winner

  • James Talarico (D)68%
  • Ken Paxton (R)33%

$6.9M traded · $334K in 24h

Maine Senate Election Winner

  • Troy Jackson (D)63%
  • Susan Collins (R)38%

$2.8M traded · $186K in 24h