wan123 has made $1.3M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #140 all time by profit, with 61M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$1.3M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 61M
- Portfolio value
- $1.5M
- Profit this month
- +$122K
- Win rate (last 200 closed)
- 77%
How wan123 has traded
Across the 200 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 153 (77%) ended in profit and 47 in a loss, for +$4.0M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 80 of the 200 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $1.2M together, the biggest is “Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?” (No) at 25% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 24% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$1.2M

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed May 13, 2026
+$331K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed May 13, 2026
+$279K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Yes · entry 86% · closed Mar 5, 2026
+$219K

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 11% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$201K

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry 63% · closed Apr 16, 2026
+$195K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes · entry 31% · closed May 13, 2026
+$174K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
No · entry 74% · closed Sep 16, 2026
+$172K

Cardinals vs. Rams
Cardinals · entry 31% · closed Oct 18, 2026
+$157K

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Yes · entry 62% · closed Apr 25, 2026
+$131K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
No · entry 20% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$189K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 29, 2026
−$188K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Apr 23, 2026
−$88K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 12% · closed May 3, 2026
−$81K

US forces enter Iran by April 30?
No · entry 43% · closed Apr 10, 2026
−$76K

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
No · entry 38% · closed Mar 5, 2026
−$53K

Chiefs vs. Raiders
Raiders · entry 33% · closed Oct 5, 2026
−$49K

Cardinals vs. Rams
Rams · entry 29% · closed Oct 18, 2026
−$42K

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 23% · closed Apr 16, 2026
−$38K

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Yes · entry 35% · closed May 3, 2026
−$36K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No · entry 70%, now 73% · ends Oct 28, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$287K
+$11K P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 59%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$173K
+$9,438 P&L

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
No · entry 94%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$124K
+$4,119 P&L

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
No · entry 44%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$114K
+$7,396 P&L

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 63%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$106K
+$18K P&L

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No · entry 41%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$81K
+$46K P&L

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes · entry 52%, now 47% · ended Jun 3, 2026
$41K
−$4,957 P&L

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 10%, now 14% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$38K
+$11K P&L

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Yes · entry 50%, now 97% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$35K
+$17K P&L

Rams vs. Raiders
Rams · entry 62%, now 98% · ends Oct 25, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33K
+$12K P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 41%, now 14% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$27K
−$50K P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Yes · entry 28%, now 27% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
−$1,499 P&L

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Yes · entry 37%, now 40% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$26K
+$1,966 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 41%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$23K
+$8,335 P&L

Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 69%, now 62% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
−$2,623 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?

Sold No at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Sold No at 22%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 61%
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.