Szatoshi
0x2bef…3afd · Joined October 4, 2024
Szatoshi is down $15K in realized results on Polymarket, with 321K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 20, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$15K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 321K
- Portfolio value
- $550
- Profit this month
- −$113
- Win rate (last 155 closed)
- 69%
How Szatoshi has traded
Across all 155 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 107 (69%) ended in profit and 48 in a loss, for +$16K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 135 of the 155 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 2 largest open positions listed below, worth $549 together, the biggest is “Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?” (Yes) at >99% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
Miami Marlins · entry 19% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$3,887
Hornets vs. Timberwolves
Hornets · entry 56% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$3,167
Hurricanes vs. Senators
Senators · entry 39% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$2,928
Magic vs. Pelicans
Magic · entry 63% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$2,643
Will Chesterfield FC vs. Tranmere Rovers FC end in a draw?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$2,496
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5
Under · entry 48% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$1,595
Coventry City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: O/U 1.5
Under · entry 28% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$1,583
Suns vs. Bulls
Suns · entry 79% · closed Apr 6, 2026
+$1,556
Aalesunds FK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5
Over · entry 29% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$1,359
Medvedev vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Under · entry 34% · closed Apr 8, 2026
+$1,247
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees
New York Yankees · entry 64% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$3,063
Fonseca vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Over · entry 25% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$2,958
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5)
Once Upon A Team · entry 22% · closed Apr 8, 2026
−$2,871
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 22% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$2,866
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Baltimore Orioles · entry 39% · closed Apr 9, 2026
−$2,753
Hurricanes vs. Senators
Hurricanes · entry 44% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$2,104
Lakers vs. Mavericks
Lakers · entry 43% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$2,002
Hornets vs. Timberwolves
Timberwolves · entry 29% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$1,362
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Oct 11, 2026
−$1,167
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians · entry 11% · closed Apr 6, 2026
−$1,097
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes · entry 35%, now 11% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$547
−$1,200 P&L
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Yes · entry 40%, now <0.1% · ended Nov 4, 2026
$2
−$1,675 P&L
Recent trades
Sold No at 81%
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Sold No at 89%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Sold No at >99%
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Sold Yes at 19%
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Bought 76ers at 41%
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
$61
Bought 76ers at 47%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$79
Bought 76ers at 47%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$3
Bought 76ers at 47%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$12
Bought 76ers at 48%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$82
Bought 76ers at 49%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$21
Bought 76ers at 48%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$12
Bought 76ers at 49%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$87
Bought 76ers at 48%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$50
Bought 76ers at 43%
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
$86
Bought 76ers at 49%
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)
$25
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.