Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

lug

0xe0db…f44e · Joined November 15, 2022

#3,295 all time#669,868 this monthView on Polymarket

lug has made $56K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,295 all time by profit, with 25M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$56K
All-time volume (shares)
25M
Portfolio value
$111K
Profit this month
−$53K
Win rate (last 197 closed)
46%

How lug has traded

Across the 197 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 91 (46%) ended in profit and 106 in a loss, for −$59K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 117 of the 197 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $83K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 21% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 36% · closed Nov 6, 2024

    +$75K

  • Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

    Yes · entry 22% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    +$35K

  • Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

    No · entry 27% · closed Apr 30, 2025

    +$30K

  • Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5

    Under · entry 11% · closed Jul 19, 2026

    +$18K

  • Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?

    No · entry 20% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    +$16K

  • Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?

    No · entry 63% · closed Jan 20, 2025

    +$15K

  • Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?

    No · entry 49% · closed Apr 30, 2025

    +$15K

  • Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    Yes · entry 18% · closed Jul 20, 2026

    +$14K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

    Yes · entry 23% · closed Sep 18, 2024

    +$12K

  • Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains?

    No · entry 61% · closed Nov 5, 2024

    +$12K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

    Yes · entry 70% · closed Nov 12, 2024

    −$66K

  • Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

    No · entry 63% · closed May 19, 2025

    −$38K

  • Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 24% · closed Jul 22, 2024

    −$27K

  • Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 46% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    −$12K

  • Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?

    No · entry 71% · closed Dec 3, 2024

    −$11K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 43% · closed Oct 20, 2026

    −$11K

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    No · entry 72% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$11K

  • Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

    Yes · entry 52% · closed Nov 7, 2024

    −$10K

  • Will Trump launch a coin before the election?

    No · entry 66% · closed Oct 18, 2024

    −$8,965

  • Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

    Democratic · entry 46% · closed Nov 14, 2024

    −$8,713

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.