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2026 Alabama Governor Race odds

Polymarket traders make Tommy Tuberville (R) the favorite for “Alabama Governor Election Winner” at 95% (+0.4 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Doug Jones (D) at 6%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 2 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Tommy Tuberville (R)Doug Jones (D)

All 2 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Alabama Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Tommy Tuberville (R) leads at 95%, ahead of Doug Jones (D) at 6%. Tommy Tuberville (R) is up 0.4 points over the last 24 hours and down 1.1 points over the past week. Traders have put $57K through the event so far, including $646 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Alabama Governor Election Winner?
Tommy Tuberville (R) is the favorite at 95%, followed by Doug Jones (D) at 6%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?
Polymarket traders give Tommy Tuberville (R) a 95% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.06 (American −1787): $1 staked on Tommy Tuberville (R) returns about $1.06 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.4 points.

Related odds

Alabama Governor Election Margin of Victory

  • Republican 10-15%30%
  • Republican 5-10%25%
  • Republican 15-20%14%

$24K traded · $229 in 24h

Ohio Governor Election Winner

  • Amy Acton (D)81%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R)20%

$1.7M traded · $209K in 24h

California Governor Election Winner

  • Xavier Becerra98%
  • Steve Hilton1%
  • Rick Caruso<0.1%

$44M traded · $200K in 24h