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Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Live odds

Polymarket traders make The Odyssey the favorite for “Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards” at 86% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Dune: Messiah at 14%.

Market ends:

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Back your pick

Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If The Odyssey wins “Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards”, $20 returns about $23.39.

Price per share
85.5¢
Implied chance
86%
Shares
23.39
Payout if it wins
$23.39
Profit if it wins
+$3.39
Odds
1.17 · −590

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back The Odyssey on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:14 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
The OdysseyDune: MessiahWild Horse NineProject Hail Mary

All 8 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Long shots that pay the most

The outcome priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.

Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.

Where this market stands

“Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. The Odyssey leads at 86%, ahead of Dune: Messiah at 14%. The Odyssey is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 2.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $268K through the event so far, including $5 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027.

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The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit.

This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.

In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
The Odyssey is the favorite at 86%, followed by Dune: Messiah at 14% and Wild Horse Nine at 0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
Polymarket traders give The Odyssey a 86% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.17 (American −590): $1 staked on The Odyssey returns about $1.17 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.

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