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Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations odds

The highest-priced market in “Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations” is NAZA at 96% (+2.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of You Can See Everything at 79%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.

Market ends:

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

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Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If “Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards” resolves Yes, $20 returns about $20.94.

Price per share
95.5¢
Implied chance
96%
Shares
20.94
Payout if it wins
$20.94
Profit if it wins
+$0.94
Odds
1.05 · −2122

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back NAZA on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:13 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 14Nov 2
NAZAYou Can See EverythingOnce Upon a Time in HarlemAmerican Doctor

All 10 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Long shots that pay the most

The 2 outcomes priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.

Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.

Where this market stands

“Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations” is a Polymarket event with 10 open outcomes. NAZA has the highest price at 96%, ahead of You Can See Everything at 79%. NAZA is up 2.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 11 points over the past week. Traders have put $90K through the event so far, including $8,977 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on March 15, 2027.

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The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
Polymarket currently prices Yes at 96% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.05 (American −2122): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.05 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 2.5 points.

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