Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

Top US Spotify Artist 2026 odds

Polymarket traders make Drake the favorite for “Top US Spotify Artist 2026” at 84% (−4.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Taylor Swift at 8%.

Market ends:

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh about every 30 minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Back your pick

Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If Drake wins “Top US Spotify Artist 2026”, $20 returns about $23.95.

Price per share
83.5¢
Implied chance
84%
Shares
23.95
Payout if it wins
$23.95
Profit if it wins
+$3.95
Odds
1.20 · −506

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back Drake on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 14:18 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
DrakeTaylor SwiftBad BunnyBruno Mars

All 11 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Long shots that pay the most

The outcome priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.

Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.

Where this market stands

“Top US Spotify Artist 2026” is a Polymarket event with 11 open outcomes. Drake leads at 84%, ahead of Taylor Swift at 8%. Drake is down 4.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 3.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $166K through the event so far, including $6,993 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on February 1, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist in the US for 2026.

This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist in the US of 2026.

If multiple artists tie for top artist in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If Spotify does not release who their top artist in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in Top US Spotify Artist 2026?
Drake is the favorite at 84%, followed by Taylor Swift at 8% and Bad Bunny at 2%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026?
Polymarket traders give Drake a 84% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.20 (American −506): $1 staked on Drake returns about $1.20 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 4.5 points.

Related odds

#2 Spotify Song 2026

  • Babydoll – Dominic Fike80%
  • End of Beginning – Djo13%
  • Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0.3%

$169K traded · $20K in 24h

Top Spotify Song 2026

  • End of Beginning – Djo86%
  • Babydoll – Dominic Fike14%
  • Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0.1%

$271K traded · $13K in 24h

#2 Spotify Artist in November?

  • Rihanna66%
  • The Weeknd23%
  • Bruno Mars0.3%

$11K traded · $8,554 in 24h