#2 Spotify Song 2026 odds
Polymarket traders make Babydoll – Dominic Fike the favorite for “#2 Spotify Song 2026” at 80% (−10 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of End of Beginning – Djo at 14%.
Market ends:
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If Babydoll – Dominic Fike wins “#2 Spotify Song 2026”, $20 returns about $25.16.
- Price per share
- 79.5¢
- Implied chance
- 80%
- Shares
- 25.16
- Payout if it wins
- $25.16
- Profit if it wins
- +$5.16
- Odds
- 1.26 · −388
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:11 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 14 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Babydoll – Dominic Fike80%80%24h −10 ptsOdds 1.26US −388Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- End of Beginning – Djo14%14%24h +4.0 ptsOdds 6.90US +590Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0.3%0.3%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 400.00US +39900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0.2%0.2%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Risk It All – Bruno Mars<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Man I Need – Olivia Dean<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Swim – BTS<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Long shots that pay the most
The outcome priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.
End of Beginning – Djo
14.5¢ · 14%$20 → $138 if it wins
Back End of Beginning – Djo on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.
Where this market stands
“#2 Spotify Song 2026” is a Polymarket event with 14 open outcomes. Babydoll – Dominic Fike leads at 80%, ahead of End of Beginning – Djo at 14%. Babydoll – Dominic Fike is down 10 points over the last 24 hours and down 5.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $169K through the event so far, including $22K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on February 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
buoys sold Yes at 89%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
Ross1212 bought Yes at 81%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
buoys sold Yes at 90%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
shovelingdigging bought Yes at 79%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
buoys bought Yes at 75%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
buoys sold Yes at 81%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
buoys bought Yes at 68%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
buoys bought Yes at 53%
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
How this market resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song of 2026.
The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If Spotify does not release who their #2 song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in #2 Spotify Song 2026?
- Babydoll – Dominic Fike is the favorite at 80%, followed by End of Beginning – Djo at 14% and Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson at 0.3%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Babydoll – Dominic Fike a 80% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.26 (American −388): $1 staked on Babydoll – Dominic Fike returns about $1.26 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 10 points.
Related odds
Top Spotify Song 2026
- End of Beginning – Djo86%
- Babydoll – Dominic Fike14%
- Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0.1%
$270K traded · $15K in 24h
#2 Spotify Artist in November?
- Rihanna66%
- The Weeknd23%
- Bruno Mars0.3%
$11K traded · $8,554 in 24h
Top US Spotify Artist 2026
- Drake83%
- Taylor Swift8%
- Bad Bunny2%
$166K traded · $6,993 in 24h