Top Spotify Song 2026 odds
Polymarket traders make End of Beginning – Djo the favorite for “Top Spotify Song 2026” at 86% (+3.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 14%.
Market ends:
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If End of Beginning – Djo wins “Top Spotify Song 2026”, $20 returns about $23.30.
- Price per share
- 85.85¢
- Implied chance
- 86%
- Shares
- 23.30
- Payout if it wins
- $23.30
- Profit if it wins
- +$3.30
- Odds
- 1.16 · −607
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:12 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 14 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- End of Beginning – Djo86%86%24h +3.5 ptsOdds 1.16US −607Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Babydoll – Dominic Fike14%14%24h +2.1 ptsOdds 7.17US +617Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0.1%0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 666.67US +66567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Risk It All – Bruno Mars<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Man I Need – Olivia Dean<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Swim – BTS<0.1%<0.1%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Billie Jean – Michael Jackson<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo<0.1%<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Long shots that pay the most
The outcome priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.
Babydoll – Dominic Fike
13.95¢ · 14%$20 → $143 if it wins
Back Babydoll – Dominic Fike on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.
Where this market stands
“Top Spotify Song 2026” is a Polymarket event with 14 open outcomes. End of Beginning – Djo leads at 86%, ahead of Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 14%. End of Beginning – Djo is up 3.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 0.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $270K through the event so far, including $15K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on February 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
Smart-bettor7 bought No at 88%
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?
shovelingdigging bought Yes at 87%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
shovelingdigging bought Yes at 80%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
shovelingdigging bought Yes at 71%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
buoys sold Yes at 74%
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
PaddyAlpha bought Yes at 45%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?
buoys sold Yes at 57%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?
buoys bought Yes at 52%
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?
How this market resolves
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026.
This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the top song of 2026.
If multiple songs tie for top song for 2026, this market will resolve according to the song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If Spotify does not release who their top song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.
Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Top Spotify Song 2026?
- End of Beginning – Djo is the favorite at 86%, followed by Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 14% and Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj at 0.1%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?
- Polymarket traders give End of Beginning – Djo a 86% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.16 (American −607): $1 staked on End of Beginning – Djo returns about $1.16 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 3.5 points.
Related odds
#2 Spotify Song 2026
- Babydoll – Dominic Fike80%
- End of Beginning – Djo14%
- Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0.3%
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