
PaddyAlpha has made $57K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,279 all time by profit, with 25M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 2, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$57K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 25M
- Portfolio value
- $92K
- Profit this month
- +$2,706
- Win rate (last 263 settled)
- 57%
If you had copied PaddyAlpha
What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position PaddyAlpha opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.
Last 30 days
$100 → $99
−1% across 170 positions, 62% in profit. Best +$528, worst −$832.
Last 90 days
$100 → $100
−0% across 664 positions, 56% in profit. Best +$1,786, worst −$2,001.
Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as PaddyAlpha, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.
Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)How PaddyAlpha has traded
Polymarket lists 263 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Sep 21, 2026. Of them, 150 (57%) ended in profit and 113 in a loss, for a net +$5,004 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $23K together, the biggest is “Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?” (No) at 15% of that value.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (66 of the 263 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 11, 2026
+$6,907

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$4,361

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET
Up · entry 73% · closed Jun 18, 2025
+$3,899

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 41% · closed Sep 22, 2026
+$3,636

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Yes · entry 91% · closed Feb 28, 2026
+$3,280

Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?
Yes · entry 61% · closed Jul 26, 2026
+$2,948

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11 PM ET
Down · entry 81% · closed Jun 15, 2025
+$2,850

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$2,842

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 27, 2026
+$2,797

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 10, 2026
+$2,769
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 4?
Yes · entry 69% · closed Jul 5, 2025
−$7,119

Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?
Yes · entry 83% · closed May 28, 2026
−$6,265

Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?
Yes · entry 75% · closed Feb 9, 2026
−$6,248

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
No · entry 95% · closed Apr 11, 2026
−$5,421

Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10PM ET
Up · entry 95% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$4,750

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
No · entry 24% · closed Feb 28, 2026
−$3,349

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 9% · closed Aug 1, 2026
−$3,259

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
No · entry >99% · closed Jun 8, 2026
−$2,736

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
No · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026
−$2,545

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11PM ET
Up · entry 99% · closed Jun 21, 2025
−$2,475
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$3,387
+$50 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 44%, now 43% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$2,913
−$64 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 97% · ends Nov 3, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,880
−$10 P&L

Iran leadership change by December 31?
No · entry 86%, now 86% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,860
−$5 P&L

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 87%, now 88% · ends Nov 8, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,535
+$6 P&L

Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
No · entry 95%, now 95% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,477
+$1 P&L

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
No · entry 98%, now 98% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,469
−$6 P&L

Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year?
No · entry 85%, now 74% · ends Dec 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,362
−$199 P&L

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 83%, now 84% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,311
+$4 P&L

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?
Yes · entry 67%, now 77% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,241
+$158 P&L

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
No · entry 90%, now 95% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,224
+$62 P&L

Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
No · entry 92%, now 92% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,129
−$0 P&L

US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Yes · entry 23%, now 18% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$1,030
−$307 P&L

Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 98%, now >99% · ended Nov 1, 2026
$1,000
+$19 P&L

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 96% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$978
−$4 P&L
Recent trades

Bought Yes at 4%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Bought No at 80%
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

Sold No at 72%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Bought Yes at 85%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by November 30?

Bought Yes at 64%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?

Sold No at 95%
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Sold No at 90%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?

Sold No at 97%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?

Sold No at 90%
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?

Bought No at 38%
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk by November 30?

Bought Yes at 14%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

Sold No at 86%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

Sold No at 86%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?

Sold Yes at 64%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?

Sold Yes at 42%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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