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PaddyAlpha

PaddyAlpha

0x9ad0…bf3d · Joined November 5, 2024

#3,279 all time#4,462 this monthView on Polymarket

PaddyAlpha has made $57K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #3,279 all time by profit, with 25M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Nov 2, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$57K
All-time volume (shares)
25M
Portfolio value
$92K
Profit this month
+$2,706
Win rate (last 263 settled)
57%

If you had copied PaddyAlpha

What $100 would be worth now if you had mirrored every position PaddyAlpha opened, in proportion to their stakes. Positions still open are valued at today's price.

Last 30 days

$100 → $99

−1% across 170 positions, 62% in profit. Best +$528, worst −$832.

Last 90 days

$100 → $100

−0% across 664 positions, 56% in profit. Best +$1,786, worst −$2,001.

Hindsight, not a forecast: it assumes you got the same prices as PaddyAlpha, with no fees, slippage or delay. See how we calculate it and how other top traders compare.

Copy this trader on Polymarket (affiliate link)

How PaddyAlpha has traded

Polymarket lists 263 settled positions for this wallet with activity since Sep 21, 2026. Of them, 150 (57%) ended in profit and 113 in a loss, for a net +$5,004 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 47%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Positions on markets that have not ended are not counted above. Of the 14 largest positions on markets that have not ended, listed below and worth $23K together, the biggest is “Will Ali G be TIME Person of the Year 2026?” (No) at 15% of that value.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (66 of the 263 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    +$6,907

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$4,361

  • Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1 AM ET

    Up · entry 73% · closed Jun 18, 2025

    +$3,899

  • US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

    Yes · entry 41% · closed Sep 22, 2026

    +$3,636

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    Yes · entry 91% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    +$3,280

  • Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?

    Yes · entry 61% · closed Jul 26, 2026

    +$2,948

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11 PM ET

    Down · entry 81% · closed Jun 15, 2025

    +$2,850

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Jun 18, 2026

    +$2,842

  • Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

    Yes · entry 68% · closed Oct 27, 2026

    +$2,797

  • Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Jul 10, 2026

    +$2,769

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2500 on July 4?

    Yes · entry 69% · closed Jul 5, 2025

    −$7,119

  • Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?

    Yes · entry 83% · closed May 28, 2026

    −$6,265

  • Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

    Yes · entry 75% · closed Feb 9, 2026

    −$6,248

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    No · entry 95% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    −$5,421

  • Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 10PM ET

    Up · entry 95% · closed Jun 22, 2025

    −$4,750

  • US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

    No · entry 24% · closed Feb 28, 2026

    −$3,349

  • US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 9% · closed Aug 1, 2026

    −$3,259

  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 8, 2026

    −$2,736

  • Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?

    No · entry >99% · closed May 1, 2026

    −$2,545

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11PM ET

    Up · entry 99% · closed Jun 21, 2025

    −$2,475

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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