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Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner odds

Polymarket traders make Julianne Moore the favorite for “Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner” at 75% (unchanged in the last 24 hours), ahead of Inde Navarrette at 17%.

Market ends:

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

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Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If Julianne Moore wins “Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner”, $20 returns about $26.67.

Price per share
75¢
Implied chance
75%
Shares
26.67
Payout if it wins
$26.67
Profit if it wins
+$6.67
Odds
1.33 · −300

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back Julianne Moore on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:12 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
Julianne MooreInde NavarretteSandra HüllerRenate Reinsve

All 18 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Show all 18 outcomes

Long shots that pay the most

The 2 outcomes priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.

Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.

Where this market stands

“Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner” is a Polymarket event with 18 open outcomes. Julianne Moore leads at 75%, ahead of Inde Navarrette at 17%. Julianne Moore is unchanged over the last 24 hours and up 1.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $163K through the event so far, including $238 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on July 1, 2027.

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The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner?
Julianne Moore is the favorite at 75%, followed by Inde Navarrette at 17% and Sandra Hüller at 4%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
Polymarket traders give Julianne Moore a 75% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.33 (American −300): $1 staked on Julianne Moore returns about $1.33 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved by less than 0.1 points.

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