Skip to content
WhaleSays
Open Polymarket

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections? Live odds

Polymarket traders make <22 the favorite for “How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections” at 45% (+4.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 22–23 at 28%.

Start trading on PolymarketAffiliate link · 18+ · trading involves riskView this market on Polymarket

Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
<2222–2324–2528–29

All 7 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections” is a Polymarket event with 7 open outcomes. <22 leads at 45%, ahead of 22–23 at 28%. <22 is up 4.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 20 points over the past week. Traders have put $714K through the event so far, including $125 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

All whale trades

How this market resolves

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of United States governor’s seats that will be held by the Republican Party as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.

This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.

For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.

For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.

If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
<22 is the favorite at 45%, followed by 22–23 at 28% and 24–25 at 18%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket traders give <22 a 45% chance, which is decimal odds of 2.22 (American +122): $1 staked on <22 returns about $2.22 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 4.5 points.

Related odds

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

  • David Crowley (D)85%
  • Tom Tiffany (R)16%

$1.0M traded · $35K in 24h

Alaska Governor Election Winner

  • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins88%
  • Bernadette Wilson11%
  • Click Bishop<0.1%

$1.8M traded · $8,878 in 24h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

  • Democrats Sweep71%
  • R Senate, D House24%
  • Republicans Sweep6%

$51M traded · $2.7M in 24h