Skip to content
WhaleSays

weather-memory

0x4ae6…e4bf · Joined March 9, 2026

#316,869 all timeView on Polymarket

weather-memory has made $47 in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #316,869 all time by profit, with 48K shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Jul 26, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$47
All-time volume (shares)
48K
Portfolio value
$0
Win rate (all 23 settled)
78%

How weather-memory has traded

Polymarket lists 23 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 18 (78%) ended in profit and 5 in a loss, for a net +$53 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 80%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 11 of the 23 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles.

How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too. Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.

  • Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)

    Red Wings · entry 28% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$117

  • Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 on March 19?

    No · entry 29% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$58

  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

    No · entry 97% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$6

  • Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

    No · entry 91% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$6

  • Will Carlos Eduardo Palenque win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?

    No · entry 97% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$5

  • Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

    No · entry 97% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$3

  • Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

    No · entry 95% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$3

  • Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

    No · entry 96% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$3

  • Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

    No · entry 96% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    +$3

  • SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC: O/U 4.5

    Under · entry 90% · closed May 21, 2026

    +$2

Biggest losses

The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).

  • Map Handicap: EP (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)

    Barça eSports · entry 74% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    −$126

  • Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?

    No · entry 88% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    −$20

  • Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5

    Under · entry 94% · closed Jun 4, 2026

    −$10

  • Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

    Yes · entry 9% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    −$5

  • Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

    Yes · entry 7% · closed Mar 20, 2026

    −$2

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.

Recent trades

  • Bought No at 91%

    Exact Score: FC København 2 - 1 Lyngby BK?

    $12

  • Bought Under at 92%

    England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5

    $10

  • Bought Under at 92%

    Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 5.5

    $18

  • Bought No at 94%

    Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

    $19

  • Bought No at 95%

    Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31?

    $20

  • Bought Under at 94%

    Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5

    $10

  • Bought Under at 90%

    SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Barra FC: O/U 4.5

    $14

  • Bought CA Boca Juniors at 96%

    Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)

    $11

  • Sold No at 97%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

    $1,568

  • Bought No at 97%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

    $1,036

  • Bought No at 97%

    Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

    $526

  • Sold Yes at 6%

    Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    $56

  • Sold Yes at 6%

    Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    $61

  • Bought Yes at 6%

    Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    $84

  • Bought Yes at 6%

    Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

    $39

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.