cruelCertain
0x2663…bb3e · Joined March 10, 2026
cruelCertain is down $253 in realized results on Polymarket, with 34K shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Jul 5, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- −$253
- All-time volume (shares)
- 34K
- Portfolio value
- $1
- Profit this month
- −$0
- Win rate (all 21 settled)
- 62%
How cruelCertain has traded
Polymarket lists 21 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 13 (62%) ended in profit and 8 in a loss, for a net −$253 in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 72%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too. Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
No · entry 93% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$4
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Yes · entry 91% · closed May 21, 2026
+$3
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
No · entry 90% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$3
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 95% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$2
Will SK Sigma Olomouc win on 2026-03-19?
No · entry 92% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$2
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
CF Pachuca · entry 92% · closed May 21, 2026
+$2
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?
No · entry 92% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$1
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia?
No · entry 90% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$1
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?
No · entry 90% · closed Aug 14, 2026
+$1
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner
Gen.G · entry 94% · closed Mar 20, 2026
+$1
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on March 19?
Up · entry 61% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$171
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on March 19?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$70
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?
No · entry 91% · closed Jun 12, 2026
−$16
Will Miguel Roca win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$9
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$5
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Yes · entry 3% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$3
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Yes · entry 5% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$2
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
No · entry 96% · closed Mar 20, 2026
−$1
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Bought No at 92%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 England?
$17
Bought No at 90%
Exact Score: Panama 1 - 2 Croatia?
$13
Bought No at 90%
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?
$11
Bought Canada at 94%
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)
$12
Bought Under at 94%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 5.5
$10
Bought No at 91%
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?
$16
Bought No at 93%
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?
$12
Bought CF Pachuca at 92%
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
$19
Sold No at 95%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
$972
Bought No at 95%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
$274
Bought No at 95%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
$699
Sold Yes at 5%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
$32
Sold Yes at 5%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
$47
Bought Yes at 5%
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
$81
Sold No at 95%
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
$1,023
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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