muchobliged has made $2.0M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #85 all time by profit, with 31M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Jul 10, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$2.0M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 31M
- Win rate (all 21 settled)
- 71%
How muchobliged has traded
Polymarket lists 21 settled positions for this wallet. Of them, 15 (71%) ended in profit and 6 in a loss, for a net +$2.0M in profit and loss. The simple average entry price on them was 56%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 15 of the 21 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles.
How we count: a position is one outcome of one market. It is settled when the trader sold or redeemed it, or when its market resolved while the trader still held it; Polymarket keeps listing that last kind as open until it is redeemed, so we read those too (6 of the 21 here). Positions that cost under $1, ones that ended exactly even and ones on markets still running are left out, and each position is dated by its last activity. Profit is Polymarket's own figure per position. Computed by WhaleSays from public Polymarket data; it describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
The largest profits across this wallet's history: positions it sold or redeemed, and ones on markets that settled in its favor and are not redeemed yet.
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 50% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$2.4M
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
No · entry 59% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$1.7M
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 60% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$820K
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Egypt · entry 54% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$804K
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 56% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$767K
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 56% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$658K
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Yes · entry 43% · closed Jul 7, 2026
+$236K
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
No · entry 40% · closed Jul 4, 2026
+$208K
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
Yes · entry 57% · closed Jul 3, 2026
+$169K
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
Paraguay · entry 58% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$126K
Biggest losses
The largest losses across this wallet's history, including markets that settled against it and were never redeemed (Polymarket lists those as open, not closed).
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 50% · market settled, not redeemed
−$5.2M
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 47% · market settled, not redeemed
−$569K
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Australia · entry 42% · market settled, not redeemed
−$158K
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Over · entry 43% · market settled, not redeemed
−$109K
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
Yes · entry 36% · market settled, not redeemed
−$108K
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?
No · entry 29% · market settled, not redeemed
−$3,726
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$81
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$7,388
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$404
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$3,303
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$4,470
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$141K
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$231
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$17
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$3
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$96
Bought Belgium at 66%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$9,680
Bought Belgium at 65%
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
$20K
Bought Over at 51%
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
$45K
Bought Over at 51%
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
$161
Bought Over at 51%
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
$10
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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