BreakTheBank has made $8.9M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #8 all time by profit, with 333M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$8.9M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 333M
- Portfolio value
- $2.2M
- Profit this month
- +$7.4M
- Win rate (last 199 closed)
- 93%
How BreakTheBank has traded
Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 185 (93%) ended in profit and 14 in a loss, for +$20M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 52%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 143 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $2.0M together, the biggest is “Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?” (No) at 19% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$1.4M

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Yes · entry 40% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$1.3M

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
No · entry 53% · closed Jul 1, 2026
+$1.2M

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
No · entry 23% · closed Jun 17, 2026
+$1.1M

Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Yes · entry 13% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$1.1M

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
No · entry 38% · closed Jun 16, 2026
+$1.1M

Seahawks vs. Broncos
Broncos · entry 44% · closed Oct 16, 2026
+$974K

Hornets vs. Nets
Hornets · entry 52% · closed Oct 22, 2026
+$966K

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
Yes · entry 6% · closed Jul 19, 2026
+$939K

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Yes · entry 42% · closed Jun 29, 2026
+$925K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz · entry 77% · closed Sep 9, 2026
−$919K

Broncos vs. Chiefs
Broncos · entry 45% · closed Sep 15, 2026
−$805K

Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Jul 9, 2026
−$593K

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?
Yes · entry 51% · closed Oct 24, 2026
−$550K

Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
No · entry 28% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$546K

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
No · entry 49% · closed Oct 14, 2026
−$535K

UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
Gillian Robertson · entry 35% · closed Aug 16, 2026
−$485K

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?
Yes · entry 21% · closed Jun 19, 2026
−$273K

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5
Under · entry 48% · closed Aug 16, 2026
−$240K

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Aug 30, 2026
−$224K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
No · entry 71%, now 86% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$391K
+$68K P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Yes · entry 66%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$265K
−$1,415 P&L

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes · entry 3%, now 66% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$262K
+$250K P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes · entry 67%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$248K
−$5,679 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
No · entry 71%, now 75% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$236K
+$12K P&L

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No · entry 93%, now 94% · market ended
$188K
+$1,400 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
No · entry 91%, now 93% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$130K
+$2,109 P&L

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 8%, now 9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$118K
+$689 P&L

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No · entry 65%, now 66% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$36K
+$47 P&L

Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
No · entry 88%, now 88% · ends Jul 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
+$48 P&L

Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Yes · entry 25%, now 25% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$34K
−$532 P&L

Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
Yes · entry 4%, now 7% · ends May 30, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$33K
+$17K P&L

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Yes · entry 9%, now 13% · ends Apr 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$6,697 P&L

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Yes · entry 0.7%, now 0.9% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$22K
+$4,241 P&L

Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 26%, now 25% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$20K
−$504 P&L
Recent trades

Sold Yes at 75%
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?

Bought No at 24%
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought Chiefs at 56%
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)

Bought No at 41%
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Bought Lions at 48%
Spread: Lions (-4.5)

Bought Lions at 48%
Spread: Lions (-4.5)

Bought Lions at 48%
Spread: Lions (-4.5)

Bought Lions at 48%
Spread: Lions (-4.5)

Bought Lions at 48%
Spread: Lions (-4.5)
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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