Theo4 has made $22M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #1 all time by profit, with 43M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Nov 13, 2024.
- All-time realized profit
- +$22M
- All-time volume (shares)
- 43M
- Win rate (last 22 closed)
- 82%
How Theo4 has traded
Across all 22 closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 18 (82%) ended in profit and 4 in a loss, for +$22M in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 50%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 18 of the 22 are about politics and elections, judging by keywords in the market titles.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 37% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$8.3M
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
No · entry 37% · closed Nov 12, 2024
+$6.1M
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$5.9M
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
Yes · entry 35% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$1.2M
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 65% · closed Nov 6, 2024
+$381K
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
No · entry 61% · closed Nov 10, 2024
+$84K
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
Republican · entry 58% · closed Nov 15, 2024
+$50K
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 60% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$49K
Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
Yes · entry 47% · closed Nov 7, 2024
+$29K
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
No · entry 39% · closed Oct 23, 2024
+$19K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
No · entry 57% · closed Oct 22, 2024
−$2,886
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
No · entry 64% · closed Oct 21, 2024
−$1,120
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
No · entry 97% · closed Nov 13, 2024
−$104
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?
No · entry 93% · closed Jan 1, 2025
−$21
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.
No open positions above $1 were found for this wallet.
Recent trades
Bought No at 97%
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
$193
Bought No at 96%
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
$23
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$1,987
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$21K
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$19K
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$36
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$1,374
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$131
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$53
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$131
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$34K
Bought No at 26%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$359
Bought Yes at 26%
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
$67
Bought No at 27%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$2,655
Bought No at 27%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
$27
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
More to explore: full leaderboard, live whale trades, events with live odds and how to start.