Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027? Live odds
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 24% and No at 77% for “Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027” (Yes −1.0 pts in the last 24 hours).
Market ends:
Prices refresh about every 30 minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If “Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027” resolves No, $20 returns about $26.14.
- Price per share
- 76.5¢
- Implied chance
- 77%
- Shares
- 26.14
- Payout if it wins
- $26.14
- Profit if it wins
- +$6.14
- Odds
- 1.31 · −326
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 14:28 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Chance of Yes over the last 30 days
Price of a Yes share.
Yes and No odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Yes24%24%24h −1.0 ptsOdds 4.26US +326Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- No77%77%24h +1.0 ptsOdds 1.31US −326Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027” is a Polymarket market with two outcomes. Yes is priced at 24% and No at 77%; Yes is down 1.0 points over the last 24 hours and up 9.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $5,088 through the market so far, including $351 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2028.
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The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Islam Makhachev officially announces his retirement from the UFC by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Islam Makhachev is retiring from the UFC. The announcement must come from Islam Makhachev himself or his official representatives. An announcement that Makhachev is leaving the UFC while continuing to compete professionally in mixed martial arts or another combat sport will qualify.
The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately. An announcement that Makhachev intends to retire at an unspecified future date, or after a specified number of additional bouts, will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Islam Makhachev; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Will Islam Makhachev retire from the UFC by the end of 2027?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 24% (decimal odds 4.26, American +326) and No at 77% (decimal odds 1.31, American −326). The price of a Yes share is the market's implied probability that this happens.
- When does this market close?
- The listed end date is January 1, 2028. Read the resolution rules on this page to see what counts and who decides.
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