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UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next odds

Polymarket traders make Paddy Pimblett the favorite for “UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next” at 56% (+14 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Arman Tsarukyan at 23%.

Market ends:

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Prices refresh about every 30 minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Back your pick

Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.

Your pick

If Paddy Pimblett wins “UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next”, $20 returns about $36.04.

Price per share
55.5¢
Implied chance
56%
Shares
36.04
Payout if it wins
$36.04
Profit if it wins
+$16.04
Odds
1.80 · −125

If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.

Back Paddy Pimblett on Polymarket

Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice

Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 14:30 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 4 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 2
Paddy PimblettArman TsarukyanJustin GaethjeBenoit Saint Denis

All 4 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Long shots that pay the most

The 2 outcomes priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.

Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.

Where this market stands

“UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next” is a Polymarket event with 4 open outcomes. Paddy Pimblett leads at 56%, ahead of Arman Tsarukyan at 23%. Paddy Pimblett is up 14 points over the last 24 hours and down 4.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $14K through the event so far, including $399 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on June 17, 2027.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Ilia Topuria is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that UFC officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.

Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.

If Ilia Topuria is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by June 16, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.

Who is the favorite in UFC: Who Will Ilia Topuria Fight Next?
Paddy Pimblett is the favorite at 56%, followed by Arman Tsarukyan at 23% and Justin Gaethje at 14%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will Ilia Topuria fight Paddy Pimblett next?
Polymarket traders give Paddy Pimblett a 56% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.80 (American −125): $1 staked on Paddy Pimblett returns about $1.80 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 14 points.

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