UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next odds
Polymarket traders make Michael Chandler the favorite for “UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next” at 33% (+0.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Max Holloway at 30%.
Market ends:
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If Michael Chandler wins “UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next”, $20 returns about $61.54.
- Price per share
- 32.5¢
- Implied chance
- 33%
- Shares
- 61.54
- Payout if it wins
- $61.54
- Profit if it wins
- +$41.54
- Odds
- 3.08 · +208
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:12 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 5 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- Michael Chandler33%33%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 3.08US +208Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Max Holloway30%30%24h −0.1 ptsOdds 3.34US +234Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Nate Diaz13%13%24h −13 ptsOdds 7.69US +669Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Ian Garry11%11%24h −1.1 ptsOdds 9.17US +817Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- Jorge Masvidal7%7%24h +0.9 ptsOdds 14.39US +1339Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Long shots that pay the most
The 3 outcomes priced between 2¢ and 15¢ that would pay the most for a $20 stake. Long shots rarely win, and the price already says how rarely: 5¢ is a market-implied chance of about 5%. Most stakes at these prices end up lost.
Jorge Masvidal
6.95¢ · 7%$20 → $288 if it wins
Back Jorge Masvidal on Polymarket (affiliate link)Ian Garry
10.9¢ · 11%$20 → $183 if it wins
Back Ian Garry on Polymarket (affiliate link)Nate Diaz
13¢ · 13%$20 → $154 if it wins
Back Nate Diaz on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Payout is before fees and assumes the price shown. How Polymarket fees work.
Where this market stands
“UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next” is a Polymarket event with 5 open outcomes. Michael Chandler leads at 33%, ahead of Max Holloway at 30%. Michael Chandler is up 0.5 points over the last 24 hours and up 19 points over the past week. Traders have put $28K through the event so far, including $352 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on July 12, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
No trades of $1,000 or more on this market recently.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Conor McGregor is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 11, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in UFC: Who Will Conor McGregor Fight Next?
- Michael Chandler is the favorite at 33%, followed by Max Holloway at 30% and Nate Diaz at 13%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?
- Polymarket traders give Michael Chandler a 33% chance, which is decimal odds of 3.08 (American +208): $1 staked on Michael Chandler returns about $3.08 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.5 points.
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