Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? Live odds
Polymarket traders make Alexander Volkanovski the favorite for “Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026” at 95% (−0.6 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Movsar Evloev at 2%.
Market ends:
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Back your pick
Choose an outcome and a stake to see what it would return if it wins.
Your pick
If Alexander Volkanovski wins “Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026”, $20 returns about $20.98.
- Price per share
- 95.35¢
- Implied chance
- 95%
- Shares
- 20.98
- Payout if it wins
- $20.98
- Profit if it wins
- +$0.98
- Odds
- 1.05 · −2051
If it loses, the stake is lost. Each share costs the price shown and pays $1 if the outcome wins.
Affiliate link · 18+ · prices move; you can lose your stake · not financial advice
Polymarket’s taker fee is not included (see our guide to Polymarket fees). Prices are from the last update, 13:14 UTC, 2 Nov 2026, and may have moved since.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 12 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 95%
Alexander Volkanovski95%24h −0.6 ptsOdds 1.05US −2051Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 2%
Movsar Evloev2%24h +0.2 ptsOdds 58.82US +5782Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.5%
Aljamain Sterling0.5%24h −0.8 ptsOdds 181.82US +18082Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.2%
Jean Silva0.2%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 0.2%
Kevin Vallejos0.2%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 500.00US +49900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Diego Lopes<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Yair Rodriguez<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Lerone Murphy<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Arnold Allen<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Youssef Zalal<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Steve Garcia<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - <0.1%
Brian Ortega<0.1%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 2000.00US +199900Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026” is a Polymarket event with 12 open outcomes. Alexander Volkanovski leads at 95%, ahead of Movsar Evloev at 2%. Alexander Volkanovski is down 0.6 points over the last 24 hours and up 1.3 points over the past week. Traders have put $356K through the event so far, including $294 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2027.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

bravew0lSaCt sold No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt bought No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt sold No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt bought No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt sold No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt sold No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt bought No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt sold No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt bought No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt sold No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

bravew0lSaCt bought No at >99%
Will Youssef Zalal be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter sold No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter bought No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter sold No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter bought No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter sold No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter bought No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter sold No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter bought No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter sold No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter bought No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

dolbvMGNOtter bought No at >99%
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
- Alexander Volkanovski is the favorite at 95%, followed by Movsar Evloev at 2% and Aljamain Sterling at 0.5%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket traders give Alexander Volkanovski a 95% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.05 (American −2051): $1 staked on Alexander Volkanovski returns about $1.05 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.6 points.
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