GPT Astra 6.1+ released by odds
The highest-priced market in “GPT Astra 6.1+ released by” is December 31 at 85% (+1.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of December 15 at 77%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 5 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 85%
December 3185%24h +1.0 ptsOdds 1.18US −567Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link) - 77%December 1577%24h +0.5 ptsOdds 1.31US −326Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 49%November 3049%24h −17 ptsOdds 2.06US +106Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 37%November 1537%24h −1.0 ptsOdds 2.70US +170Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 18%October 3118%24h +5.0 ptsOdds 5.71US +471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“GPT Astra 6.1+ released by” is a Polymarket event with 5 open outcomes. December 31 has the highest price at 85%, ahead of December 15 at 77%. December 31 is up 1.0 points over the last 24 hours and down 6.0 points over the past week. Traders have put $389K through the event so far, including $13K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on December 31, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
Parz1vaI bought No at 82%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
moneymakingmachine bought No at 93%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
rewardbots sold No at 76%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Contentious-Dinnerdate bought No at 87%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
JokerTheClown bought No at 87%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
Parz1vaI bought No at 90%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
dedidanc bought Yes at 89%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
rewardbots sold No at 94%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
rewardbots sold No at 94%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
Parz1vaI bought No at 94%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
Parz1vaI bought No at 92%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
Parz1vaI bought No at 89%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
dedidanc bought No at 80%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
TinaGoat sold No at 89%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
rewardbots sold No at 95%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
TinaGoat bought No at 95%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
rewardbots bought No at 93%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 16, 2026?
dedidanc bought No at 12%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
Parz1vaI bought No at 87%
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 85% in this market, which is decimal odds of 1.18 (American −567): $1 staked on Yes returns about $1.18 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 1.0 points.
