
Parz1vaI has made $774K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #252 all time by profit, with 72M shares traded.
Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.
- All-time realized profit
- +$774K
- All-time volume (shares)
- 72M
- Portfolio value
- $302K
- Profit this month
- +$36K
- Win rate (last 196 closed)
- 68%
How Parz1vaI has traded
Across the 196 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 133 (68%) ended in profit and 63 in a loss, for −$2,112 in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 70%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $186K together, the biggest is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?” (No) at 15% of that value.
Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.
Biggest wins
Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Yes · entry 76% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$93K

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
Yes · entry 33% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$83K

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
Alliance · entry 63% · closed Sep 10, 2026
+$45K

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
Yes · entry 16% · closed Aug 12, 2026
+$39K

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 0.3% · closed Jun 4, 2026
+$36K

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
No · entry 0.2% · closed Aug 13, 2026
+$28K

Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
Yes · entry 32% · closed Dec 30, 2025
+$26K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Yes · entry 18% · closed Jun 18, 2026
+$25K

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Yes · entry 29% · closed Feb 26, 2026
+$19K

Nuggets vs. Thunder
Thunder · entry 56% · closed Oct 23, 2026
+$18K
Biggest losses
Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
No · entry 32% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$35K

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Yes · entry 15% · closed Jul 2, 2026
−$29K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
No · entry 84% · closed May 15, 2026
−$24K

US military action against Iran by Sunday?
No · entry 77% · closed Jun 22, 2025
−$23K

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
No · entry 51% · closed Sep 29, 2026
−$23K

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
No · entry 78% · closed Jul 13, 2026
−$22K

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?
No · entry 81% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$21K

Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
No · entry 92% · closed Aug 13, 2026
−$20K

James Madison vs. Appalachian State
James Madison · entry 87% · closed Oct 23, 2026
−$20K

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
No · entry 72% · closed May 22, 2026
−$17K
Open positions
The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No · entry 84%, now 80% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$28K
−$1,408 P&L

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No · entry 72%, now 86% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$21K
+$3,393 P&L

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No · entry 69%, now 76% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$19K
+$1,620 P&L

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
Yes · entry 65%, now 85% · ends Oct 31, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$3,710 P&L

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 74%, now 90% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$16K
+$2,870 P&L

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 72%, now 72% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$12K
+$34 P&L

Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?
Yes · entry 91%, now 95% · ends Oct 27, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$10K
+$445 P&L

Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
No · entry 66%, now 71% · ends Jan 4, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,900
+$698 P&L

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?
Yes · entry 61%, now 56% · ends Jan 1, 2028
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,755
−$884 P&L

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 63% · ends Nov 4, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$9,020
−$216 P&L

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?
No · entry 72%, now 96% · ends Oct 26, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,895
+$1,923 P&L

US strike on Cuba by December 31?
No · entry 81%, now 91% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$7,496
+$754 P&L

Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?
No · entry 64%, now 67% · ends Dec 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,982
+$240 P&L

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
No · entry 97%, now 97% · ends Jan 1, 2027
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,778
−$11 P&L

Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
No · entry 83%, now 85% · ends Nov 1, 2026
Trade this on Polymarket (affiliate link)$6,600
+$159 P&L
Recent trades

Bought No at 99%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 99%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 79%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 96%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Bought No at 97%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Sold No at 79%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Bought No at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Bought No at 67%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.
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