Ohio Senate Election: Turnout odds
Polymarket traders make 4.35M-4.5M the favorite for “Ohio Senate Election: Turnout” at 20% (−0.6 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 5.1M+ at 13%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 10 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 4.35M-4.5M20%20%24h −0.6 ptsOdds 5.12US +412Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 5.1M+13%13%24h +1.7 ptsOdds 7.97US +697Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.5M-4.65M12%12%24h −1.3 ptsOdds 8.66US +766Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.2M-4.35M9%9%24h −10 ptsOdds 11.49US +1049Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.95M-5.1M9%9%24h −8.6 ptsOdds 11.70US +1070Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.05M-4.2M6%6%24h +0.4 ptsOdds 17.24US +1624Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <3.9M6%6%24h −0.9 ptsOdds 18.18US +1718Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 3.9M-4.05M4%4%24h −1.3 ptsOdds 24.10US +2310Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.65M-4.8M4%4%24h −31 ptsOdds 25.32US +2432Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 4.8M-4.95M4%4%24h −1.3 ptsOdds 27.78US +2678Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Ohio Senate Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 10 open outcomes. 4.35M-4.5M leads at 20%, ahead of 5.1M+ at 13%. 4.35M-4.5M is down 0.6 points over the last 24 hours and up 17 points over the past week. Traders have put $53K through the event so far, including $2,693 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
EsperanzasDESTROYER bought No at 81%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,050,000 and 4,200,000?
EsperanzasDESTROYER bought No at 88%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be less than 3,900,000?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
New to this? Our guide covers how to make your first trade.
- Who is the favorite in Ohio Senate Election: Turnout?
- 4.35M-4.5M is the favorite at 20%, followed by 5.1M+ at 13% and 4.5M-4.65M at 12%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?
- Polymarket traders give 4.35M-4.5M a 20% chance, which is decimal odds of 5.12 (American +412): $1 staked on 4.35M-4.5M returns about $5.12 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 0.6 points.
