Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout odds
Polymarket traders make 2.65M-2.8M the favorite for “Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout” at 23% (−5.5 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of 2.5M-2.65M at 22%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 8 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- 2.65M-2.8M23%23%24h −5.5 ptsOdds 4.44US +344Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.5M-2.65M22%22%24h −2.0 ptsOdds 4.65US +365Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.8M-2.95M21%21%24h +4.0 ptsOdds 4.76US +376Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.35M-2.5M11%11%24h +6.6 ptsOdds 9.35US +835Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.95M-3.1M8%8%24h −5.0 ptsOdds 12.50US +1150Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- <2.2M7%7%24h +2.6 ptsOdds 14.29US +1329Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 2.2M-2.35M4%4%24h −4.0 ptsOdds 23.53US +2253Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- 3.1M+3%3%24h −1.4 ptsOdds 35.71US +3471Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout” is a Polymarket event with 8 open outcomes. 2.65M-2.8M leads at 23%, ahead of 2.5M-2.65M at 22%. 2.65M-2.8M is down 5.5 points over the last 24 hours and down 3.5 points over the past week. Traders have put $23K through the event so far, including $5,367 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Who is the favorite in Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout?
- 2.65M-2.8M is the favorite at 23%, followed by 2.5M-2.65M at 22% and 2.8M-2.95M at 21%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?
- Polymarket traders give 2.65M-2.8M a 23% chance, which is decimal odds of 4.44 (American +344): $1 staked on 2.65M-2.8M returns about $4.44 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved down 5.5 points.
