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2026 Maine Governor Race odds

Polymarket traders make Hannah Pingree (D) the favorite for “Maine Governor Election Winner” at 97% (+0.3 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of Robert Charles (R) at 3%.

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Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.

Probability over the last 30 days

The top 2 outcomes right now.

Oct 2Nov 1
Hannah Pingree (D)Robert Charles (R)

All 2 outcomes and their odds

Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.

Odds as of

Where this market stands

“Maine Governor Election Winner” is a Polymarket event with 2 open outcomes. Hannah Pingree (D) leads at 97%, ahead of Robert Charles (R) at 3%. Hannah Pingree (D) is up 0.3 points over the last 24 hours and up 1.4 points over the past week. Traders have put $60K through the event so far, including $181 in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on November 4, 2026.

Whale trades in this market

The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.

Common questions

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Who is the favorite in Maine Governor Election Winner?
Hannah Pingree (D) is the favorite at 97%, followed by Robert Charles (R) at 3%. Prices are the market's implied probabilities and update as traders buy and sell.
Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026?
Polymarket traders give Hannah Pingree (D) a 97% chance, which is decimal odds of 1.03 (American −3075): $1 staked on Hannah Pingree (D) returns about $1.03 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 0.3 points.

Related odds

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

  • Democrat 10-15%37%
  • Democrat 15-20%24%
  • Democrat 20-25%16%

$17K traded · $332 in 24h

Ohio Governor Election Winner

  • Amy Acton (D)81%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy (R)20%

$1.7M traded · $209K in 24h

California Governor Election Winner

  • Xavier Becerra98%
  • Steve Hilton1%
  • Rick Caruso<0.1%

$44M traded · $200K in 24h