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elmcap2

elmcap2

0xed10…d2e5 · Joined April 29, 2023

#76 all time#674,408 this monthView on Polymarket

elmcap2 has made $2.1M in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #76 all time by profit, with 300M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$2.1M
All-time volume (shares)
300M
Portfolio value
$6.7M
Profit this month
−$38K
Win rate (last 199 closed)
83%

How elmcap2 has traded

Across the 199 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 166 (83%) ended in profit and 33 in a loss, for +$100K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 84%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. 95 of the 199 are about sports, judging by keywords in the market titles. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $6.1M together, the biggest is “Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?” (No) at 33% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Will Biden finish his term?

    Yes · entry 88% · closed Jan 20, 2025

    +$202K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 93% · closed Sep 17, 2025

    +$176K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 98% · closed Oct 29, 2025

    +$100K

  • Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

    No · entry >99% · closed Mar 4, 2026

    +$82K

  • No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Jan 28, 2026

    +$67K

  • No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 97% · closed Jul 30, 2025

    +$65K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry >99% · closed Mar 18, 2026

    +$61K

  • No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?

    Yes · entry 98% · closed Jun 18, 2025

    +$60K

  • Will Biden resign before the election?

    No · entry 94% · closed Nov 5, 2024

    +$56K

  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry >99% · closed Jun 4, 2026

    +$56K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Will Lamar Jackson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?

    Yes · entry 56% · closed Feb 28, 2025

    −$47K

  • China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

    No · entry 87% · closed Jul 20, 2026

    −$32K

  • Will Elon Musk give a speech at Bitcoin conference?

    Yes · entry 20% · closed Jul 28, 2024

    −$28K

  • Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

    Yes · entry 69% · closed Aug 6, 2024

    −$21K

  • Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?

    Down · entry 96% · closed Feb 6, 2026

    −$20K

  • Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?

    Yes · entry 90% · closed Sep 19, 2024

    −$20K

  • Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night

    Ansem · entry 56% · closed Dec 6, 2024

    −$19K

  • Biden nominated before Democratic convention?

    Yes · entry 38% · closed Jul 22, 2024

    −$14K

  • Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

    Tate · entry 87% · closed Dec 21, 2025

    −$12K

  • Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

    No · entry 92% · closed May 16, 2026

    −$11K

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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