Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by odds
The highest-priced market in “Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by” is December 31, 2028 at 33% (+9.0 pts in the last 24 hours), ahead of December 31, 2027 at 14%. Each market resolves on its own, so these prices do not have to add up to 100%.
Prices refresh every few minutes. Probabilities are not predictions or advice, and you can lose what you trade.
Probability over the last 30 days
The top 4 outcomes right now.
All 4 outcomes and their odds
Probability is the share price. Decimal odds show what $1 returns if that outcome wins, before fees. American odds show the same price as a moneyline: +150 pays $150 on a $100 stake, −200 needs $200 to win $100.
Odds as of
- December 31, 202833%33%24h +9.0 ptsOdds 3.08US +208Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- December 31, 202714%14%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 7.41US +641Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- June 30, 202711%11%24h 0.0 ptsOdds 9.52US +852Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
- December 31, 20264%4%24h +0.1 ptsOdds 27.78US +2678Trade on Polymarket (affiliate link)
Where this market stands
“Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by” is a Polymarket event with 4 open outcomes. December 31, 2028 has the highest price at 33%, ahead of December 31, 2027 at 14%. December 31, 2028 is up 9.0 points over the last 24 hours and up 12 points over the past week. Traders have put $782K through the event so far, including $33K in the last 24 hours, and it is scheduled to end on January 1, 2029.
Whale trades in this market
The latest trades of $1,000 or more on this event, newest first.
Pure-Threat bought No at 69%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
dromedaryy sold No at 75%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
MisTKy sold No at 97%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
MisTKy sold No at 98%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
MisTKy sold No at 91%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
MisTKy sold No at 98%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
Tenebrus7 sold No at 87%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Tenebrus7 sold No at 88%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
1nvoker1 bought Yes at 12%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
MisTKy bought No at 89%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
MisTKy sold Yes at 12%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
bigdihhh888 bought No at 97%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
MisTKy sold No at 87%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?
MisTKy bought Yes at 16%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
MisTKy bought Yes at 24%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
Anjun sold Yes at 16%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
MisTKy sold Yes at 17%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
ArmageddonRewardsBilly sold No at 76%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
WarriorH sold No at 81%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
MisTKy bought Yes at 17%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
MisTKy bought Yes at 16%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Lolakis bought Yes at 22%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
MisTKy sold No at 97%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
MisTKy bought No at 97%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
WarriorH bought No at 97%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
1nvoker1 bought Yes at 13%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?
Truthful-Latte sold Yes at 18%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
sdhyky sold Yes at 18%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
sdhyky bought Yes at 20%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
MisTKy bought No at 95%
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Louisiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by default, rather than permitted subject to conditions or restrictions. Conditions on the resumption or termination of a suspension do not make a measure one that permits subject to conditions; a measure that suspends approvals, permitting, construction, or interconnection until a specified condition is satisfied qualifies.
Enactment occurs when a bill becomes law under the state's constitution and laws, whether by gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, approval at a statewide referendum election, or any other legal mechanism by which statutes can be enacted. For an initiated or referred statute or constitutional amendment, or other voter referendum, the relevant law is considered to have been enacted on the election day on which it was approved, as reflected in the certified results, regardless of when the measure is certified or takes effect. Passage by one or both chambers, or a Governor's announced intent to sign, is not enactment.
Executive orders, agency orders, and other measures which are not statutory or constitutional do not qualify as enactment regardless of legal force. A provision removed by line-item veto is not enacted unless the veto is overridden as to that item. The operative text of the measure at enactment controls; provisions amended out before enactment do not qualify.
The moratorium provision must be mandatory on its face. A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify. A statute that directs suspension of approvals or interconnection upon a specified condition qualifies only if the condition is objectively determinable and is not deferred to be determined by the implementing agency's findings, certifications, or completion of its own proceedings.
This market resolves based on the date of enactment, not the effective date. Resolution will not be affected by failure to implement a law, judicial invalidation, repeal, or expiry that follows a relevant enactment, or an effective date that comes after the date of enactment.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Louisiana; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rules are written by Polymarket and shown as published. WhaleSays does not settle markets.
Common questions
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- Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?
- Polymarket currently prices Yes at 33% in this market, which is decimal odds of 3.08 (American +208): $1 staked on Yes returns about $3.08 if it resolves Yes, before fees. In the last 24 hours the price moved up 9.0 points.
Related odds
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