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MisTKy

MisTKy

0x35bb…009b · Joined January 11, 2026

#626 all time#162 this monthView on Polymarket

MisTKy has made $328K in realized profit on Polymarket and ranks #626 all time by profit, with 83M shares traded.

Latest trade seen: Oct 25, 2026.

All-time realized profit
+$328K
All-time volume (shares)
83M
Portfolio value
$253K
Profit this month
+$134K
Win rate (last 188 closed)
53%

How MisTKy has traded

Across the 188 most recently closed positions with a profit or loss Polymarket lists for this wallet, 99 (53%) ended in profit and 89 in a loss, for +$25K in realized profit and loss on those positions. The simple average entry price on them was 54%; below 50% means that, on average, the trader bought outcomes the market rated less likely than not. Of the 15 largest open positions listed below, worth $220K together, the biggest is “Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?” (No) at 20% of that value.

Computed by WhaleSays from Polymarket's public position data. It describes the past and is not a forecast.

Biggest wins

Closed positions with the highest realized profit.

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    +$52K

  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 87% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    +$30K

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

    No · entry 82% · closed Oct 12, 2026

    +$26K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    No · entry 16% · closed Jul 29, 2026

    +$20K

  • Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

    Yes · entry 10% · closed Oct 13, 2026

    +$18K

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    Yes · entry 22% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    +$16K

  • US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

    Yes · entry 99% · closed Apr 11, 2026

    +$16K

  • US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 5% · closed Feb 1, 2026

    +$11K

  • Will Trump visit China by April 30?

    No · entry 70% · closed May 1, 2026

    +$11K

  • Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

    Yes · entry 23% · closed Apr 16, 2026

    +$10K

Biggest losses

Closed positions with the largest realized loss.

  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

    No · entry 94% · closed Sep 9, 2026

    −$51K

  • Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

    No · entry 68% · closed May 9, 2026

    −$21K

  • Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

    Yes · entry 51% · closed Jun 19, 2026

    −$20K

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

    No · entry 70% · closed Oct 25, 2026

    −$18K

  • Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?

    No · entry 90% · closed Oct 13, 2026

    −$14K

  • Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

    Yes · entry 14% · closed Oct 11, 2026

    −$14K

  • US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

    Yes · entry 50% · closed May 1, 2026

    −$12K

  • Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

    Yes · entry 12% · closed Oct 23, 2026

    −$11K

  • Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?

    Yes · entry 41% · closed Feb 16, 2026

    −$11K

  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

    Yes · entry 17% · closed Sep 16, 2026

    −$9,886

Open positions

The largest current holdings by value, with the average entry price against today's price.

Recent trades

Everything on this page comes from public Polymarket and on-chain data. WhaleSays is independent and is not affiliated with this trader. Past results do not predict future ones. To ask for a profile to be removed, contact us through the about page.

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